Champions League · Round of 16 March 18, 2026 18:45

Barcelona

#5 · 16 pts

7 – 2

Final score

Newcastle

#12 · 14 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 54% win probability (draw 23%, Newcastle 21%). The final result was Barcelona 7–2 Newcastle. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Newcastle.

Match statistics

13

Shots on target

5

4.29

Actual xG

1.52

63%

Possession

37%

6

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

54.7%

Barcelona ←

23.77%

X

21.53%

Newcastle

we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona) 54.7% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Barcelona

1.79

4.29

+2.5

Newcastle

1.37

1.52

+0.15

Barcelona dominated by xG (4.29 vs 1.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	24
2	Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool	8	18
4	Tottenham	8	17
5	Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	16
7	Sporting CP	8	16
8	Manchester City	8	16
9	Real Madrid	8	15
10	Inter	8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	14
12	Newcastle	8	14
13	Juventus	8	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta	8	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray	8	10
21	Monaco	8	10
22	Qarabag	8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9
24	Benfica	8	9
25	Marseille	8	9
26	Pafos	8	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	Napoli	8	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8
32	Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal	8	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1