La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 22, 2026 14:00 Camp Nou, Barcelona

Barcelona

#6 · 0 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Rayo Vallecano

#14 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 78% win probability (draw 12%, Rayo Vallecano 8%). The final result was Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

4

1.36

Actual xG

1.83

61%

Possession

39%

6

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

78.38%

Barcelona ←

12.64%

X

8.98%

Rayo

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona) 78.38% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Barcelona

3.06

1.36

-1.7

Rayo

0.94

1.83

+0.89

Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.83 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0
5	Elche	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0
8	Levante	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0