Raphinha
(ast. X. Espart)
19'
Lamine Yamal
(ast. M. Bernal)
21'
F. Lejeune
51'
(og)
Raphinha
(ast. A. Gordon)
71'
Lamine Yamal
(ast. K. Adeyemi)
90'
12'
(ast. A. Garcia)
S. Camello
59'
(ast. U. Lopez)
S. Camello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 25%). The final result was Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
5
2.83
Actual xG
1.08
3
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
9
Corners
5
15
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. A. Garcia ·
S. Camello⚽
⚽Raphinha
· ast. X. Espart
19'
⚽Lamine Yamal
· ast. M. Bernal
21'
32'
A. Pedrosa
/
J. Vertrouwd
45'+1
⚽F. Lejeune
(og)
51'
57'
P. Diaz
/
G. Bouare
57'
F. Perez
/
J. de Frutos
59'
ast. U. Lopez ·
S. Camello⚽
D. Olmo
/ Fermin
64'
M. Bernal
/ Rodri
64'
⚽Raphinha
· ast. A. Gordon
71'
75'
Alemao
/
S. Camello
75'
R. Nteka
/
U. Lopez
Pedri
/ J. Cancelo
77'
A. Gordon
/ K. Adeyemi
77'
Raphinha
/ H. Abdelkarim
86'
90'
A. Pedrosa
⚽Lamine Yamal
· ast. K. Adeyemi
90'
Pre-match prediction
47.32%
Barcelona ←
26.95%
X
25.73%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
47.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.50
2.83
+0.33
1.06
1.08
+0.02
Barcelona dominated by xG (2.83 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
12
X. Espart
1 👟
D
X. Espart
1 👟
D
15
A. Christensen
D
A. Christensen
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
23
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
8
Pedri
77'
M
Pedri
77'
M
22
Marc Bernal
1 👟
64'
M
Marc Bernal
1 👟
64'
M
17
A. Gordon
1 👟
77'
M
A. Gordon
1 👟
77'
M
20
Dani Olmo
64'
M
Dani Olmo
64'
M
10
Lamine Yamal
2 ⚽
M
Lamine Yamal
2 ⚽
M
11
Raphinha
2 ⚽
86'
F
Raphinha
2 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
D
Alejandro Balde
D
28
B. Farinas
M
B. Farinas
M
31
Eder Aller
G
Eder Aller
G
24
Eric García
D
Eric García
D
7
Fermín
26'
M
Fermín
26'
M
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
29
H. Abdelkarim
9'
F
H. Abdelkarim
9'
F
2
João Cancelo
13'
D
João Cancelo
13'
D
14
K. Adeyemi
1 👟
13'
F
K. Adeyemi
1 👟
13'
F
16
Rodri
26'
M
Rodri
26'
M
13
W. Szczęsny
G
W. Szczęsny
G
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
33
J. Vertrouwd
32'
D
J. Vertrouwd
32'
D
6
P. Ciss
D
P. Ciss
D
24
F. Lejeune
1 ⚽
D
F. Lejeune
1 ⚽
D
20
I. Balliu
D
I. Balliu
D
36
G. Bouare
57'
M
G. Bouare
57'
M
23
Óscar Valentín
M
Óscar Valentín
M
18
Álvaro García
1 👟
M
Álvaro García
1 👟
M
8
Unai López
1 👟
75'
M
Unai López
1 👟
75'
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
57'
M
Jorge de Frutos
57'
M
10
Sergio Camello
2 ⚽
75'
F
Sergio Camello
2 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
30
Adrián Molina
G
Adrián Molina
G
17
Adrià Pedrosa
58'
D
Adrià Pedrosa
58'
D
9
Alemão
15'
F
Alemão
15'
F
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
21
Fran Pérez
33'
F
Fran Pérez
33'
F
14
G. Tsitaishvili
F
G. Tsitaishvili
F
26
Marco de las Sías
D
Marco de las Sías
D
31
M. Roman
M
M. Roman
M
4
Pedro Díaz
33'
M
Pedro Díaz
33'
M
22
Pelayo Fernández
D
Pelayo Fernández
D
11
R. Nteka
15'
M
R. Nteka
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Lamine Yamal
M · Barcelona
9.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
Raphinha
F · Barcelona
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D · Barcelona
8.00
1 shots
· 111 pass
Fermín
M · Barcelona
7.30
· 14 pass
Marc Bernal
M · Barcelona
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan García | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| X. Espart | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 66 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Christensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 111 | 101% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Bernal | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | M | 90 | 9.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Raphinha | F | 86 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 26 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelkarim | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Adeyemi | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Vertrouwd | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ciss | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Balliu | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Bouare | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Álvaro García | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 75 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 19 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alemão | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Nteka | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Barcelona win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Rayo Vallecano win.