✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
Raphinha
28'
Raphinha
62'
J. Cancelo
(ast. Pedri)
74'
(pen.)
69'
Isco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Real Betis 15%). The final result was Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Betis.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Raphinha
28'
J. Kounde
38'
46'
Isco
/
G. Lo Celso
46'
C. Bakambu
/
A. Fidalgo
Fermin
/ A. Balde
46'
⚽Raphinha
62'
Raphinha
/ R. Bardghji
63'
E. Garcia
/ R. Araujo
63'
69'
(pen.)
Isco⚽
⚽J. Cancelo
· ast. Pedri
74'
M. Bernal
/ D. Olmo
75'
79'
R. Riquelme
/
A. Ezzalzouli
80'
M. Roca
/
S. Amrabat
R. Lewandowski
/ M. Casado
85'
85'
C. Avila
/
Antony
Pre-match prediction
67.39%
Barcelona ←
17.37%
X
15.24%
Real
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
67.39%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
1.12
-1.17
1.01
0.97
-0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
J. Garcia
G
J. Garcia
G
2
João Cancelo
1 ⚽
D
João Cancelo
1 ⚽
D
18
G. Martin
D
G. Martin
D
24
E. Garcia
63'
D
E. Garcia
63'
D
23
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
8
Pedri
1 👟
M
Pedri
1 👟
M
22
M. Bernal
75'
M
M. Bernal
75'
M
6
Gavi
M
Gavi
M
16
Fermín
45'
F
Fermín
45'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
85'
F
R. Lewandowski
85'
F
11
Raphinha
2 ⚽
63'
F
Raphinha
2 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
3
A. Balde
45'
D
A. Balde
45'
D
15
A. Christensen
D
A. Christensen
D
20
Dani Olmo
15'
M
Dani Olmo
15'
M
31
Diego Kochen
G
Diego Kochen
G
17
Marc Casadó
8'
M
Marc Casadó
8'
M
14
M. Rashford
F
M. Rashford
F
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
19
R. Bardghji
27'
F
R. Bardghji
27'
F
4
Ronald Araújo
27'
D
Ronald Araújo
27'
D
43
Tomás Marqués
M
Tomás Marqués
M
25
W. Szczesny
G
W. Szczesny
G
42
X. Espart
D
X. Espart
D
1
Álvaro Vallés
G
Álvaro Vallés
G
23
Junior Firpo
D
Junior Firpo
D
16
V. Gómez
D
V. Gómez
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
D
Héctor Bellerín
D
14
S. Amrabat
80'
M
S. Amrabat
80'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
79'
M
A. Ezzalzouli
79'
M
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
18
N. Deossa
M
N. Deossa
M
7
Antony
85'
M
Antony
85'
M
20
G. Lo Celso
45'
F
G. Lo Celso
45'
F
Bench
13
Adrián
G
Adrián
G
11
C. Bakambu
45'
F
C. Bakambu
45'
F
9
Chimy Ávila
8'
F
Chimy Ávila
8'
F
22
Isco
1 ⚽
45'
M
Isco
1 ⚽
45'
M
21
Marc Roca
10'
M
Marc Roca
10'
M
42
Pablo Busto
D
Pablo Busto
D
8
Pablo Fornals
M
Pablo Fornals
M
25
Pau López
G
Pau López
G
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
11'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
11'
M
12
R. Rodríguez
D
R. Rodríguez
D
Best on the pitch
Raphinha
F · Barcelona
9.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 39 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.70
1 👟
· 103 pass
João Cancelo
D · Barcelona
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
E. Garcia
D · Barcelona
7.60
· 91 pass
Isco
M · Real
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Bernal
M · Barcelona
7.30
· 64 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Garcia | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Martin | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 83% | — | — | — |
| E. Garcia | D | 63 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 91 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedri | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 103 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bernal | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Gavi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Fermín | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Raphinha | F | 63 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Balde | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Bardghji | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Araújo | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Vallés | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Junior Firpo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Gómez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Deossa | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Lo Celso | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Bakambu | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Chimy Ávila | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Isco | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Roca | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Betis?
The final score was Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Real Betis?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Barcelona win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Real Betis win.