✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
Raphinha
28'
Raphinha
62'
J. Cancelo
(ast. Pedri)
74'
(pen.)
69'
Isco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Real Betis 15%). The final result was Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Betis.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
6
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Raphinha
28'
J. Kounde
38'
46'
Isco
/
G. Lo Celso
46'
C. Bakambu
/
A. Fidalgo
Fermin
/ A. Balde
46'
⚽Raphinha
62'
Raphinha
/ R. Bardghji
63'
E. Garcia
/ R. Araujo
63'
69'
(pen.)
Isco⚽
⚽J. Cancelo
· ast. Pedri
74'
M. Bernal
/ D. Olmo
75'
79'
R. Riquelme
/
A. Ezzalzouli
80'
M. Roca
/
S. Amrabat
R. Lewandowski
/ M. Casado
85'
85'
C. Avila
/
Antony
Pre-match prediction
67.39%
Barcelona ←
17.37%
X
15.24%
Real
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
67.39%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
1.12
-1.17
1.01
0.97
-0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
2
João Cancelo
1 ⚽
D
João Cancelo
1 ⚽
D
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
24
Eric García
63'
D
Eric García
63'
D
23
Jules Koundé
D
Jules Koundé
D
8
Pedri
1 👟
M
Pedri
1 👟
M
22
Marc Bernal
75'
M
Marc Bernal
75'
M
6
Gavi
M
Gavi
M
16
Fermín
45'
F
Fermín
45'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
85'
F
R. Lewandowski
85'
F
11
Raphinha
2 ⚽
63'
F
Raphinha
2 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
45'
D
Alejandro Balde
45'
D
15
Andreas Christensen
D
Andreas Christensen
D
20
Dani Olmo
15'
M
Dani Olmo
15'
M
31
Diego Kochen
G
Diego Kochen
G
17
Marc Casadó
8'
M
Marc Casadó
8'
M
14
M. Rashford
F
M. Rashford
F
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
4
R. Araújo
27'
D
R. Araújo
27'
D
19
R. Bardghji
27'
F
R. Bardghji
27'
F
43
Tomás Marqués
M
Tomás Marqués
M
25
Wojciech Szczęsny
G
Wojciech Szczęsny
G
42
Xavi Espart
D
Xavi Espart
D
1
Álvaro Valles
G
Álvaro Valles
G
23
Junior Firpo
D
Junior Firpo
D
16
Valentín Gómez
D
Valentín Gómez
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
D
Héctor Bellerín
D
14
Sofyan Amrabat
80'
M
Sofyan Amrabat
80'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
79'
M
A. Ezzalzouli
79'
M
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
45'
M
18
Nelson Deossa
M
Nelson Deossa
M
7
Antony
85'
M
Antony
85'
M
20
G. Lo Celso
45'
F
G. Lo Celso
45'
F
Bench
13
Adrián
G
Adrián
G
11
Cédric Bakambu
45'
F
Cédric Bakambu
45'
F
9
E. Ávila
8'
F
E. Ávila
8'
F
22
Isco
1 ⚽
45'
M
Isco
1 ⚽
45'
M
21
Marc Roca
10'
M
Marc Roca
10'
M
42
Pablo Busto
D
Pablo Busto
D
8
Pablo Fornals
M
Pablo Fornals
M
25
Pau López
G
Pau López
G
12
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
11'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Raphinha
F · Barcelona
9.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 39 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.70
1 👟
· 103 pass
João Cancelo
D · Barcelona
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
Eric García
D · Barcelona
7.60
· 91 pass
Isco
M · Real
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Marc Bernal
M · Barcelona
7.30
· 64 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan García | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 83% | — | — | — |
| Eric García | D | 63 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 91 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| Jules Koundé | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedri | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 103 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Bernal | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Gavi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Fermín | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Raphinha | F | 63 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Balde | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Bardghji | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Valles | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Junior Firpo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Valentín Gómez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Sofyan Amrabat | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Nelson Deossa | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Lo Celso | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Cédric Bakambu | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Ávila | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Isco | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Roca | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Betis?
The final score was Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Real Betis?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Barcelona win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Real Betis win.