✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
M. Rashford
9'
F. Torres
(ast. D. Olmo)
18'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 59% win probability (draw 17%, Real Madrid 23%). The final result was Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
1
0.98
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
8
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Rashford
9'
⚽F. Torres
· ast. D. Olmo
18'
40'
E. Camavinga
52'
R. Asencio
D. Olmo
52'
55'
J. Bellingham
M. Rashford
/ Raphinha
64'
D. Olmo
/ F. de Jong
64'
70'
T. Pitarch
/
E. Camavinga
F. Torres
/ R. Lewandowski
77'
Gavi
/ M. Bernal
77'
79'
F. Mastantuono
/
B. Diaz
79'
C. Palacios
/
G. Garcia
81'
T. Alexander-Arnold
Raphinha
81'
Fermin
/ A. Balde
88'
Pre-match prediction
59.0%
Barcelona ←
17.79%
X
23.21%
Real
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
59.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.59
0.98
-1.61
1.59
0.79
-0.8
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
2
João Cancelo
D
João Cancelo
D
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
24
Eric García
D
Eric García
D
8
Pedri
M
Pedri
M
6
Gavi
77'
M
Gavi
77'
M
16
Fermín
88'
M
Fermín
88'
M
20
Dani Olmo
1 👟
64'
M
Dani Olmo
1 👟
64'
M
14
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
64'
M
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
64'
M
7
Ferran Torres
1 ⚽
77'
F
Ferran Torres
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
2'
D
Alejandro Balde
2'
D
33
Eder Aller
G
Eder Aller
G
21
F. de Jong
26'
M
F. de Jong
26'
M
23
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
22
Marc Bernal
13'
M
Marc Bernal
13'
M
17
Marc Casadó
M
Marc Casadó
M
11
Raphinha
26'
F
Raphinha
26'
F
4
R. Araújo
D
R. Araújo
D
19
R. Bardghji
F
R. Bardghji
F
9
R. Lewandowski
13'
F
R. Lewandowski
13'
F
25
W. Szczęsny
G
W. Szczęsny
G
42
X. Espart
D
X. Espart
D
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
14
A. Tchouaméni
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
6
E. Camavinga
70'
M
E. Camavinga
70'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
M
Vinícius Júnior
M
5
J. Bellingham
M
J. Bellingham
M
21
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
Brahim Díaz
79'
M
16
Gonzalo García
79'
F
Gonzalo García
79'
F
Bench
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
38
César Palacios
11'
M
César Palacios
11'
M
4
David Alaba
D
David Alaba
D
35
David Jiménez
D
David Jiménez
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
30
Franco Mastantuono
11'
F
Franco Mastantuono
11'
F
28
J. Cestero Sancho
M
J. Cestero Sancho
M
43
Sergio Mestre
G
Sergio Mestre
G
45
Thiago Pitarch
20'
M
Thiago Pitarch
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Ferran Torres
F · Barcelona
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
E. Camavinga
M · Real
7.30
· 46 pass
F. de Jong
M · Barcelona
7.30
· 10 pass
M. Rashford
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 75 pass
Gerard Martín
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 85 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan García | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Eric García | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Gavi | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Balde | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 26 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Bernal | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Raphinha | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Raúl Asencio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| César Palacios | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Barcelona win, 17% to a draw, and 23% to an Real Madrid win.