Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 22, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bari a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Carrarese 31%). The final result was Bari 0–3 Carrarese. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Carrarese.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.39
52%
Possession
48%
12
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
37.03%
Bari
31.82%
X
31.16%
Carrarese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese)
31.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.17
-0.02
1.10
1.39
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Carrarese?
The final score was Bari 0–3 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Bari win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Carrarese win.