Bari - Cosenza
Serie C - Girone C
September 26, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.53%
Win
Bari
28.2%
Draw
22.27%
Win
Cosenza
1.63
0.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.08%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
28%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
51%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bari a 49% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Cosenza. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bari and 0.3 for Cosenza (total 1.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.08% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
1L
5W
4D
6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
67%
O 2.5
53%
17%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie C - Girone C. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.1
0.0
Conceded
2.3
67%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
33%
O 1.5
90%
33%
O 2.5
70%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
70%
100%
Clean Sht
10%
33%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Bari
Cosenza →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 23.6% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 19.2% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bari
Attack
37
Defence
84
Form
65
Cosenza
Attack
21
Defence
45
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sorrento
|
6 | 15 |
| 2 |
Potenza
|
6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Bari
|
6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Casertana
|
6 | 12 |
| 5 |
Audace Cerignola
|
6 | 10 |
| 6 |
Inter U23
|
6 | 10 |
| 7 |
Casarano
|
6 | 10 |
| 8 |
AZ Picerno
|
6 | 9 |
| 9 |
Salernitana
|
6 | 9 |
| 10 |
SS Monopoli
|
6 | 8 |
| 11 |
Catania
|
6 | 7 |
| 12 |
Barletta
|
6 | 7 |
| 13 |
Scafatese
|
6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Team Altamura
|
6 | 7 |
| 15 |
Savoia
|
6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Foggia
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Cavese
|
6 | 5 |
| 18 |
Giugliano
|
6 | 4 |
| 19 |
Cosenza
|
6 | 2 |
| 20 |
Crotone
|
6 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bari vs Cosenza?
The model gives Bari a 49% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 22% for an Cosenza win.
How many goals are expected in Bari vs Cosenza?
Expected goals: Bari 1.6, Cosenza 0.3 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Bari vs Cosenza?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.08%.