Serie B
· Relegation Play-offs - Final
May 15, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bari a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Sudtirol 33%). The final result was Bari 0–0 Sudtirol. In 3 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
4
0.46
Actual xG
0.98
4
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
0
15
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
G. Moncini
45'+2
54'
S. Merkaj
M. Cerofolini
57'
60'
S. Tronchin
R. Pagano
/ F. Artioli
62'
T. Esteves
/ M. Braunoder
62'
65'
J. Martini
/
M. R. Frigerio
K. Piscopo
72'
G. Moncini
/ M. Cuni
76'
G. Maggiore
/ G. De Pieri
76'
79'
R. Odogwu
/
S. Merkaj
86'
K. Zedadka
/
S. Davi
86'
F. Tait
/
S. Tronchin
87'
D. Crnigoj
/
E. Pecorino
E. Rao
/ N. Bellomo
87'
N. Bellomo
88'
Pre-match prediction
39.03%
Bari
27.82%
X ←
33.16%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
0.46
-0.73
1.10
0.98
-0.13
Sudtirol dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Michele Cerofolini
G
Michele Cerofolini
G
93
M. Dorval
D
M. Dorval
D
43
D. Nikolaou
D
D. Nikolaou
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
28
K. Piscopo
M
K. Piscopo
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
76'
M
Giulio Maggiore
76'
M
19
Tomás Esteves
62'
M
Tomás Esteves
62'
M
8
R. Pagano
62'
M
R. Pagano
62'
M
17
E. Rao
87'
F
E. Rao
87'
F
11
G. Moncini
76'
F
G. Moncini
76'
F
Bench
9
Christian Gytkjær
F
Christian Gytkjær
F
66
D. Traoré
M
D. Traoré
M
80
F. Artioli
31'
M
F. Artioli
31'
M
49
G. De Pieri
17'
M
G. De Pieri
17'
M
37
G. Stabile
D
G. Stabile
D
24
L. Dickmann
D
L. Dickmann
D
1
Marco Pissardo
G
Marco Pissardo
G
90
Marvin Çuni
17'
F
Marvin Çuni
17'
F
27
M. Braunöder
31'
M
M. Braunöder
31'
M
30
Moussa Mane
D
Moussa Mane
D
10
Nicola Bellomo
6'
M
Nicola Bellomo
6'
M
25
Raffaele Pucino
D
Raffaele Pucino
D
31
Marius Adamonis
G
Marius Adamonis
G
34
Frédéric Veseli
D
Frédéric Veseli
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
N. Pietrangeli
D
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
24
S. Davì
86'
M
S. Davì
86'
M
17
D. Casiraghi
M
D. Casiraghi
M
18
S. Tronchin
86'
M
S. Tronchin
86'
M
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
65'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
65'
M
79
S. Molina
M
S. Molina
M
9
E. Pecorino
87'
F
E. Pecorino
87'
F
33
S. Merkaj
79'
F
S. Merkaj
79'
F
Bench
13
Carlo Sabatini
D
Carlo Sabatini
D
1
Daniele Borra
G
Daniele Borra
G
4
Davide Mancini
D
Davide Mancini
D
46
D. Brik
M
D. Brik
M
89
Domen Črnigoj
6'
M
Domen Črnigoj
6'
M
23
F. Davi
D
F. Davi
D
21
F. Tait
7'
M
F. Tait
7'
M
6
J. Martini
28'
M
J. Martini
28'
M
7
K. Zedadka
7'
M
K. Zedadka
7'
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
14'
F
Raphael Odogwu
14'
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
F
Riccardo Tonin
F
99
Simone Verdi
M
Simone Verdi
M
Best on the pitch
Marius Adamonis
G · Sudtirol
7.90
· 14 pass
S. Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.50
2 shots
· 42 pass
S. Tronchin
M · Sudtirol
7.30
· 23 pass
N. Pietrangeli
D · Sudtirol
7.30
· 30 pass
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.20
2 shots
· 33 pass
E. Rao
F · Bari
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Cerofolini | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dorval | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Nikolaou | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Esteves | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Pagano | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rao | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| G. Moncini | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Artioli | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. De Pieri | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Braunöder | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicola Bellomo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius Adamonis | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Davì | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Domen Črnigoj | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Martini | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Bari 0–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Bari win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Sudtirol win.