← Serie B

Bari - Sudtirol

Serie B May 15, 2026 20:00
Bari
#17 · 40 pts
vs
Sudtirol
#16 · 41 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.03%
Win
Bari
27.82%
Draw
33.16%
Win
Sudtirol
1.19
Expected xG
1.11

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bari a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Sudtirol. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bari and 1.1 for Sudtirol (total 2.3), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.

Score Matrix
↕ Bari Sudtirol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0% 11.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.2% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Bari Bari
W Catanzaro 2–3
W Virtus Entella 2–0
L Avellino 2–0
L Venezia 0–3
L Monza 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 23%
Sudtirol Sudtirol
D Juve Stabia 1–1
L Sampdoria 1–0
L Mantova 0–3
L Spezia 6–1
D Modena 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Bari Bari
Attack
28
Defence
45
Form
40
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Attack
31
Defence
57
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Bari
1
Draw
1
Sudtirol
L 15 Feb 2026 Serie B 1–2
D 13 Dec 2025 Serie B 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bari vs Sudtirol?
The model gives Bari a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 33% for an Sudtirol win.
How many goals are expected in Bari vs Sudtirol?
Expected goals: Bari 1.2, Sudtirol 1.1 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Bari vs Sudtirol?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.