Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
G. Moncini
(ast. M. Braunoder)
45'+1
G. Maggiore
90'+7
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Virtus Entella a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Bari 24%). The final result was Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Virtus Entella.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
1.10
Actual xG
0.80
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
C. Odenthal
22'
⚽G. Moncini
· ast. M. Braunoder
45'+1
M. Verreth
53'
53'
B. Guiu
M. Braunoder
54'
E. Rao
/ D. Nikolaou
62'
G. Moncini
/ M. Cuni
62'
67'
D. Bariti
/
L. Parodi
68'
M. Tirelli
/
L. Benedetti
71'
S. Di Mario
L. Dickmann
/ M. Mane
73'
R. Pagano
/ T. Esteves
74'
75'
B. Guiu
75'
B. Guiu
79'
N. Karic
/
N. Squizzato
79'
R. Turicchia
/
S. Di Mario
M. Dorval
/ G. Maggiore
87'
⚽G. Maggiore
90'+7
90'
D. P. Stabile
/
F. Mezzoni
Pre-match prediction
24.31%
Bari ←
29.35%
X
46.34%
Virtus
we assigned to the actual result (Bari)
24.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.10
+0.29
1.51
0.80
-0.71
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
93
M. Dorval
87'
D
M. Dorval
87'
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
24
L. Dickmann
73'
D
L. Dickmann
73'
D
28
K. Piscopo
M
K. Piscopo
M
29
M. Verreth
53'
M
M. Verreth
53'
M
27
M. Braunöder
1 👟
M
M. Braunöder
1 👟
M
8
R. Pagano
74'
M
R. Pagano
74'
M
17
62'
F
11
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
62'
F
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou
28'
D
D. Nikolaou
28'
D
66
D. Traoré
M
D. Traoré
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
1 ⚽
11'
M
Giulio Maggiore
1 ⚽
11'
M
90
Marvin Çuni
28'
F
Marvin Çuni
28'
F
30
Moussa Mane
17'
D
Moussa Mane
17'
D
19
Tomás Esteves
16'
D
Tomás Esteves
16'
D
22
G
15
I. Marconi
D
I. Marconi
D
6
A. Tiritiello
D
A. Tiritiello
D
23
L. Parodi
67'
D
L. Parodi
67'
D
26
Stefano Di Mario
79'
M
Stefano Di Mario
79'
M
32
L. Benedetti
68'
M
L. Benedetti
68'
M
5
N. Squizzato
79'
M
N. Squizzato
79'
M
24
M
94
F. Mezzoni
89'
M
F. Mezzoni
89'
M
11
Bernat Guiu
75'
F
Bernat Guiu
75'
F
10
L. Cuppone
F
L. Cuppone
F
Bench
7
D. Bariti
23'
M
8
N. Karić
11'
M
N. Karić
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Giulio Maggiore
M · Bari
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 1 pass
L. Dickmann
D · Bari
7.50
· 24 pass
G · Bari
7.30
· 29 pass
Tomás Esteves
D · Bari
7.30
· 15 pass
F. Mezzoni
M · Virtus
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
Valerio Mantovani
D · Bari
7.20
· 51 pass
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| M. Dorval | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Dickmann | D | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Verreth | M | 53 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | 1 |
| M. Braunöder | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Pagano | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Moncini | F | 62 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Nikolaou | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 11 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Mane | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Esteves | D | 16 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Virtus Entella — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| I. Marconi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tiritiello | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Parodi | D | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Stefano Di Mario | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Benedetti | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Squizzato | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Mezzoni | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Bernat Guiu | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Cuppone | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bariti | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| N. Karić | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Virtus Entella?
The final score was Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Virtus Entella?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Bari win, 29% to a draw, and 46% to an Virtus Entella win.