← Serie B
#17 · 40 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#14 · 42 pts
G. Moncini (ast. M. Braunoder) 45'+1
G. Maggiore 90'+7

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Virtus Entella a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Bari 24%). The final result was Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Virtus Entella.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
5
1.10
Actual xG
0.80
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
C. Odenthal
22'
G. Moncini · ast. M. Braunoder
45'+1
M. Verreth
53'
53'
B. Guiu
M. Braunoder
54'
E. Rao / D. Nikolaou
62'
G. Moncini / M. Cuni
62'
67'
D. Bariti / L. Parodi
68'
M. Tirelli / L. Benedetti
71'
S. Di Mario
L. Dickmann / M. Mane
73'
R. Pagano / T. Esteves
74'
75'
B. Guiu
75'
B. Guiu
79'
N. Karic / N. Squizzato
79'
R. Turicchia / S. Di Mario
M. Dorval / G. Maggiore
87'
G. Maggiore
90'+7
90'
D. P. Stabile / F. Mezzoni
Pre-match prediction
24.31%
Bari ←
29.35%
X
46.34%
Virtus
we assigned to the actual result (Bari) 24.31% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bari
0.81
1.10
+0.29
Virtus
1.51
0.80
-0.71
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Bari Bari 4-3-1-2
31
G 7.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 87' D 6.90
13
V. Mantovani D 7.20
26
C. Odenthal D 7.20
24
L. Dickmann 73' D 7.50
28
K. Piscopo M 6.20
29
M. Verreth 53' M 5.90
27
M. Braunoder 1 👟 M 6.60
8
R. Pagano 74' M 6.90
17
62' F 6.90
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.00
Bench
30
Balla Moussa Mane 17' D 6.90
43
D. Nikolaou 28' D 6.90
66
D. Traore M
18
Giulio Maggiore 1 ⚽ 11' M 7.90
90
M. Cuni 28' F 6.60
19
T. Esteves 16' D 7.30
22
G 6.60
15 I. Marconi I. Marconi D 6.60
6
A. Tiritiello D 7.00
23
L. Parodi 67' D 6.20
26 Z. Menyhárt Z. Menyhárt 79' M 6.90
32
L. Benedetti 68' M 6.30
5
N. Squizzato 79' M 7.00
24
M 6.30
94
F. Mezzoni 89' M 7.30
11
B. Guiu 75' F 6.50
10
L. Cuppone F 6.20
Bench
7
D. Bariti 23' M 6.90
8
N. Karic 11' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Giulio Maggiore
M · Bari
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 1 pass
L. Dickmann
D · Bari
7.50
· 24 pass
G · Bari
7.30
· 29 pass
T. Esteves
D · Bari
7.30
· 15 pass
F. Mezzoni
M · Virtus
7.30
2 shots · 28 pass
V. Mantovani
D · Bari
7.20
· 51 pass
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 29 12%
M. Dorval D 87 6.90 34 25% 3
V. Mantovani D 90 7.20 51 46%
C. Odenthal D 90 7.20 34 33% 2 1
L. Dickmann D 73 7.50 24 18% 2
K. Piscopo M 90 6.20 25 17%
M. Verreth M 53 5.90 1 23 17% 2 1
M. Braunoder M 90 6.60 1 1 27 19% 3 1
R. Pagano M 74 6.90 18 13%
F 62 6.90 14 11% 1
G. Moncini F 62 7.00 1 1 12 8%
Balla Moussa Mane D 17 6.90 6 5% 1
D. Nikolaou D 28 6.90 1
Giulio Maggiore M 11 7.90 1 2 1 1% 1
M. Cuni F 28 6.60 4
T. Esteves D 16 7.30 15 14% 2
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 11 9%
I. Marconi D 90 6.60 1 67 52% 2
A. Tiritiello D 90 7.00 72 57% 1
L. Parodi D 67 6.20 1 26 15% 1
Z. Menyhárt M 79 6.90 29 25% 1 1
L. Benedetti M 68 6.30 1 27 22%
N. Squizzato M 79 7.00 49 46%
M 90 6.30 3 21 14% 1
F. Mezzoni M 89 7.30 2 28 24%
B. Guiu F 75 6.50 22 21% 2 2 1
L. Cuppone F 90 6.20 5 4 1% 1
D. Bariti M 23 6.90 22 20%
N. Karic M 11 6.90 27 25%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Virtus Entella?
The final score was Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Virtus Entella?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Bari win, 29% to a draw, and 46% to an Virtus Entella win.