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Barnsley - Aldershot Town

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.53%
Win
Barnsley
27.1%
Draw
35.36%
Win
Aldershot Town
1.15
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.61%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 27%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 63%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barnsley a 37% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Aldershot Town. Expected goals are 1.2 for Barnsley and 1.1 for Aldershot Town (total 2.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.61% probability.

Season Stats

Barnsley
2W 0D 1L
Aldershot Town
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
5.5
Shots OT
—
4.0
Corners
—
40%
Poss.
—
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
75%
67%
BTTS
75%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Barnsley
1W 0D 0L · at home
Aldershot Town
2W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barnsley Aldershot Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1% 11.5% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

L Liverpool 4–1
W Peterborough 0–1
W York 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
W Tadley Calleva 0–2
D Tadley Calleva 2–2
L Weston-super-Mare 2–1
W Dorking Wanderers 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Barnsley Barnsley
Attack
42
Defence
41
Form
33
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
Attack
34
Defence
60
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
The model gives Barnsley a 37% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 35% for an Aldershot Town win.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
Expected goals: Barnsley 1.2, Aldershot Town 1.1 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.61%.