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Barnsley - Crewe

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 16:00
Barnsley
vs
Crewe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.15%
Win
Barnsley
31.01%
Draw
31.84%
Win
Crewe
1.22
Expected xG
0.98

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.37%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barnsley a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Crewe. Expected goals are 1.2 for Barnsley and 1.0 for Crewe (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.37% probability.

Season Stats

Barnsley
1W 2D 1L
Crewe
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
2.5
Conceded
2.0
2.3
Shots OT
3.5
4.0
Corners
2.5
57%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
Barnsley
1W 2D 1L · at home
Crewe
0W 0D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
2.5
Conceded
3.0
25%
Win %
0%
75%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barnsley Crewe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 10.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Barnsley Barnsley
D Wigan 1–1
L Brighton 0–6
W Rotherham 2–1
D Fleetwood Town 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Crewe Crewe
W Accrington ST 2–1
L Stockport County 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Barnsley Barnsley
Attack
37
Defence
66
Form
57
Crewe Crewe
Attack
33
Defence
75
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barnsley vs Crewe?
The model gives Barnsley a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Crewe win.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Crewe?
Expected goals: Barnsley 1.2, Crewe 1.0 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Barnsley vs Crewe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.37%.