← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 3 April 29, 2026 02:00
Barracas Central
#4 · 3 pts
1 – 1
Final score
A. Italiano
#3 · 4 pts
R. Bogarin (ast. G. Maroni) 42'
90'+5 (ast. R. Rebolledo) F. Loyola

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barracas Central a 32% win probability (draw 34%, A. Italiano 32%). The final result was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.12
4
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Briasco
40'
⚽R. Bogarin · ast. G. Maroni
42'
46'
D. Coelho / V. Zenteno ↕
48'
M. Ortiz
R. Insua
51'
62'
F. Loyola / M. Fuentes ↕
↕ G. Maroni / G. Morales
63'
↕ I. Tapia / D. Miloc
64'
↕ J. Candia / E. Taborda
64'
75'
(missed pen.) R. Cabral⚽
85'
R. Rebolledo / E. Ferrario ↕
85'
M. Sandoval / P. Guajardo ↕
G. Morales
90'+1
90'+5
ast. R. Rebolledo · F. Loyola⚽
90'+6
D. Coelho
↕ R. Bogarin / I. A. Guaraz
90'
90'
J. Ahumada / R. Cabral ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.95%
Barracas
34.07%
X ←
32.98%
A.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Barracas
0.91
0.55
-0.36
A.
1.00
1.12
+0.13
A. Italiano dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-4-3
1
G 7.20
31
N. Demartini D 6.90
32
F. Tobio D 6.20
14
D 6.90
6
R. Insua M 6.20
10
I. Tapia 64' M 7.50
28
R. Bogarin 1 ⚽ M 8.00
4 D. Martínez D. Martínez M 6.30
33
G. Maroni 1 👟 63' F 6.90
20
J. Candia 64' F 7.20
11
N. Briasco F 6.60
Bench
5
D. Miloc 33' M 6.70
24
E. Taborda 33' F 6.70
9
G. Morales 34' F 6.30
21
L. Gamba F
79
M. Puig M
2
N. Capraro D
8
Tomás Porra M
A. Italiano A. Italiano 3-1-4-2
1
J. Ahumada G 6.20
4
Daniel Piña D 7.30
29
Marcelo Ortíz D 6.60
13
E. Ferrario 85' D 7.20
8 M. Collao M. Collao M 6.60
23 E. Matus E. Matus M 6.70
27
M. Fuentes 62' M 6.60
2
Vicente Zenteno 45' M 6.70
7
P. Guajardo 85' M 6.90
10
R. Cabral F 6.70
21 G. Chiaverano G. Chiaverano F 6.30
Bench
9
D. Coelho 52' F 7.00
17
Favian Loyola 1 ⚽ 35' M 7.50
6
Mario Sandoval 12' M 6.20
35
R. Rebolledo 1 👟 12' D 7.60
Best on the pitch
R. Bogarin
M · Barracas
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
R. Rebolledo
D · A.
7.60
1 👟
· 6 pass
Favian Loyola
M · A.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
I. Tapia
M · Barracas
7.50
· 16 pass
Daniel Piña
D · A.
7.30
· 45 pass
E. Ferrario
D · A.
7.20
· 53 pass
Barracas Central Barracas Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.20 — — — 22 8% — — —
N. Demartini D 97 6.90 — — — 16 8% 4 — —
F. Tobio D 97 6.20 — — — 14 9% 3 — —
D 97 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
R. Insua M 97 6.20 — — — 19 12% 2 1 —
I. Tapia M 64 7.50 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
R. Bogarin M 90 8.00 1 — 2 22 16% 2 — —
D. Martínez M 97 6.30 — — — 15 8% 3 — —
G. Maroni F 63 6.90 — 1 — 13 8% 1 — —
J. Candia F 64 7.20 — — 2 10 6% — — —
N. Briasco F 97 6.60 — — 1 15 9% 1 1 —
D. Miloc M 33 6.70 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
E. Taborda F 33 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
G. Morales F 34 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — 1 —
A. Italiano A. Italiano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ahumada G 97 6.20 — — — 10 9% — — —
Daniel Piña D 97 7.30 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
Marcelo Ortíz D 97 6.60 — — — 61 53% — — —
E. Ferrario D 85 7.20 — — — 53 48% 2 — —
M. Collao M 97 6.60 — — — 65 56% 1 — —
E. Matus M 97 6.70 — — — 36 33% 1 1 —
M. Fuentes M 62 6.60 — — 1 31 24% 2 — —
Vicente Zenteno M 45 6.70 — — 1 17 12% — — —
P. Guajardo M 85 6.90 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
R. Cabral F 90 6.70 — — 2 32 28% 2 — —
G. Chiaverano F 97 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
D. Coelho F 52 7.00 — — 2 8 5% 1 — —
Favian Loyola M 35 7.50 1 — 1 10 8% 1 — —
Mario Sandoval M 12 6.20 — — 1 3 3% — — —
R. Rebolledo D 12 7.60 — 1 — 6 3% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Barracas Central win, 34% to a draw, and 32% to an A. Italiano win.