Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:00
R. Bogarin
(ast. G. Maroni)
42'
90'+5
(ast. R. Rebolledo)
F. Loyola
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barracas Central a 32% win probability (draw 34%, A. Italiano 32%). The final result was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Barracas Central have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.12
4
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Briasco
40'
⚽R. Bogarin
· ast. G. Maroni
42'
46'
D. Coelho
/
V. Zenteno
48'
M. Ortiz
R. Insua
51'
62'
F. Loyola
/
M. Fuentes
G. Maroni
/ G. Morales
63'
I. Tapia
/ D. Miloc
64'
J. Candia
/ E. Taborda
64'
75'
(missed pen.)
R. Cabral⚽
85'
R. Rebolledo
/
E. Ferrario
85'
M. Sandoval
/
P. Guajardo
G. Morales
90'+1
90'+5
ast. R. Rebolledo ·
F. Loyola⚽
90'+6
D. Coelho
R. Bogarin
/ I. A. Guaraz
90'
90'
J. Ahumada
/
R. Cabral
Pre-match prediction
32.95%
Barracas
34.07%
X ←
32.98%
A.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.55
-0.36
1.00
1.12
+0.13
A. Italiano dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
14
D
6
R. Insúa
M
R. Insúa
M
10
I. Tapia
64'
M
I. Tapia
64'
M
28
R. Bogarín
1 ⚽
M
R. Bogarín
1 ⚽
M
4
D. Martínez
M
D. Martínez
M
33
G. Maroni
1 👟
63'
F
G. Maroni
1 👟
63'
F
20
J. Candia
64'
F
J. Candia
64'
F
11
N. Briasco
F
N. Briasco
F
Bench
5
D. Miloc
33'
M
D. Miloc
33'
M
24
Enzo Taborda
33'
F
Enzo Taborda
33'
F
9
J. Morales
34'
F
J. Morales
34'
F
21
Lucas Gamba
F
Lucas Gamba
F
79
M. Puig
M
M. Puig
M
2
N. Capraro
D
N. Capraro
D
8
T. Porra
M
T. Porra
M
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
4
D. Piña
D
D. Piña
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
M. Ortiz
D
13
E. Ferrario
85'
D
E. Ferrario
85'
D
8
M. Collao
M
M. Collao
M
23
E. Matus
M
E. Matus
M
27
M. Fuentes
62'
M
M. Fuentes
62'
M
2
V. Zenteno
45'
M
V. Zenteno
45'
M
7
P. Guajardo
85'
M
P. Guajardo
85'
M
10
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Rodrigo Cabral
F
21
G. Chiaverano
F
G. Chiaverano
F
Bench
9
D. Coelho
52'
F
D. Coelho
52'
F
17
F. Loyola
1 ⚽
35'
M
F. Loyola
1 ⚽
35'
M
6
Mario Sandoval
12'
M
35
R. Rebolledo
1 👟
12'
D
R. Rebolledo
1 👟
12'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Bogarín
M · Barracas
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
R. Rebolledo
D · A.
7.60
1 👟
· 6 pass
F. Loyola
M · A.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
I. Tapia
M · Barracas
7.50
· 16 pass
D. Piña
D · A.
7.30
· 45 pass
E. Ferrario
D · A.
7.20
· 53 pass
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| N. Demartini | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Insúa | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Tapia | M | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Bogarín | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Maroni | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Candia | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Briasco | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Miloc | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Taborda | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Morales | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ortiz | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | — | — | — |
| E. Ferrario | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Matus | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fuentes | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Zenteno | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Guajardo | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Cabral | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 35 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | M | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Rebolledo | D | 12 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Barracas Central win, 34% to a draw, and 32% to an A. Italiano win.