Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:00
R. Bogarin
(ast. G. Maroni)
42'
90'+5
(ast. R. Rebolledo)
F. Loyola
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barracas Central a 32% win probability (draw 34%, A. Italiano 32%). The final result was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Barracas Central have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.55
Actual xG
1.12
4
Saves
2
32%
Possession
68%
7
Corners
3
20
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Briasco
40'
⚽R. Bogarin
· ast. G. Maroni
42'
46'
D. Coelho
/
V. Zenteno
48'
M. Ortiz
R. Insua
51'
62'
F. Loyola
/
M. Fuentes
G. Maroni
/ G. Morales
63'
I. Tapia
/ D. Miloc
64'
J. Candia
/ E. Taborda
64'
75'
(missed pen.)
R. Cabral⚽
85'
R. Rebolledo
/
E. Ferrario
85'
M. Sandoval
/
P. Guajardo
G. Morales
90'+1
90'+5
ast. R. Rebolledo ·
F. Loyola⚽
90'+6
D. Coelho
R. Bogarin
/ I. A. Guaraz
90'
90'
J. Ahumada
/
R. Cabral
Pre-match prediction
32.95%
Barracas
34.07%
X ←
32.98%
A.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.55
-0.36
1.00
1.12
+0.13
A. Italiano dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
14
D
6
R. Insúa
M
R. Insúa
M
10
Iván Tapia
64'
M
Iván Tapia
64'
M
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
1 ⚽
M
Rodrigo Bogarín
1 ⚽
M
4
D. Martínez
M
D. Martínez
M
33
Gonzalo Maroni
1 👟
63'
F
Gonzalo Maroni
1 👟
63'
F
20
Jhonatan Candia
64'
F
Jhonatan Candia
64'
F
11
Norberto Briasco
F
Norberto Briasco
F
Bench
5
Dardo Miloc
33'
M
Dardo Miloc
33'
M
24
Enzo Taborda
33'
F
Enzo Taborda
33'
F
9
J. Morales
34'
F
J. Morales
34'
F
21
L. Gamba
F
79
M. Puig
M
M. Puig
M
2
N. Capraro
D
N. Capraro
D
8
Tomás Porra
M
Tomás Porra
M
1
Tomás Ahumada
G
Tomás Ahumada
G
4
Daniel Piña
D
Daniel Piña
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
M. Ortiz
D
13
Enzo Ferrario
85'
D
Enzo Ferrario
85'
D
8
M. Collao
M
M. Collao
M
23
E. Matus
M
E. Matus
M
27
Michael Vadulli
62'
M
Michael Vadulli
62'
M
2
Vicente Zenteno
45'
M
Vicente Zenteno
45'
M
7
Paolo Guajardo
85'
M
Paolo Guajardo
85'
M
10
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Rodrigo Cabral
F
21
G. Chiaverano
F
G. Chiaverano
F
Bench
9
Diego Coelho
52'
F
Diego Coelho
52'
F
17
F. Loyola
1 ⚽
35'
M
F. Loyola
1 ⚽
35'
M
6
Mario Sandoval
12'
M
35
Raimundo Rebolledo
1 👟
12'
D
Raimundo Rebolledo
1 👟
12'
D
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo Bogarín
M · Barracas
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Raimundo Rebolledo
D · A.
7.60
1 👟
· 6 pass
F. Loyola
M · A.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Iván Tapia
M · Barracas
7.50
· 16 pass
Daniel Piña
D · A.
7.30
· 45 pass
Enzo Ferrario
D · A.
7.20
· 53 pass
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| N. Demartini | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Insúa | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Iván Tapia | M | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bogarín | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Maroni | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonatan Candia | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Norberto Briasco | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dardo Miloc | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Taborda | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Morales | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomás Ahumada | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Piña | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ortiz | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Ferrario | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Matus | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michael Vadulli | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicente Zenteno | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Paolo Guajardo | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Cabral | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Diego Coelho | F | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 35 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | M | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Raimundo Rebolledo | D | 12 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Barracas Central 1–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Barracas Central win, 34% to a draw, and 32% to an A. Italiano win.