Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:00
G. Morales
(ast. I. Tapia)
9'
34'
(ast. E. Delmas)
F. Cardozo
90'
(ast. I. Leguizamon)
A. F. Franco Zayas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Barracas Central 29%). The final result was Barracas Central 1–2 Olimpia. In 1 previous meetings, Barracas Central have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Olimpia.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
18
6
Shots on target
10
1.15
Actual xG
3.35
8
Saves
5
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
5
14
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽G. Morales
· ast. I. Tapia
9'
N. Capraro
17'
27'
B. Bentaberry
32'
R. Benitez
34'
ast. E. Delmas ·
F. Cardozo⚽
F. Tobio
35'
35'
F. Cardozo
J. Candia
38'
D. Martinez
45'+3
45'+3
R. Ortiz
D. Martinez
/ D. Miloc
46'
51'
A. Silva
/
R. Ortiz
61'
A. Silva
N. Capraro
/ K. Jappert
65'
J. Candia
/ E. Taborda
65'
G. Morales
/ F. Bruera
65'
69'
R. Lezcano
/
E. Delmas
69'
T. I. Caballero Fleytas
/
A. Alcaraz
R. Bogarin
/ G. Maroni
72'
82'
I. Leguizamon
/
R. Benitez
82'
A. F. Franco Zayas
/
F. Cardozo
N. Demartini
90'+5
90'
ast. I. Leguizamon ·
A. F. Franco Zayas⚽
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Barracas
28.23%
X
42.64%
Olimpia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Olimpia)
42.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.15
+0.27
1.23
3.35
+2.12
Olimpia dominated by xG (3.35 vs 1.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
R. Insúa
D
R. Insúa
D
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
32
F. Tobio
D
F. Tobio
D
2
N. Capraro
65'
D
N. Capraro
65'
D
4
D. Martínez
45'
D
D. Martínez
45'
D
10
I. Tapia
1 👟
M
I. Tapia
1 👟
M
28
R. Bogarín
72'
M
R. Bogarín
72'
M
8
T. Porra
M
T. Porra
M
20
J. Candia
65'
F
J. Candia
65'
F
9
J. Morales
1 ⚽
65'
F
J. Morales
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
5
D. Miloc
45'
M
D. Miloc
45'
M
24
Enzo Taborda
25'
F
Enzo Taborda
25'
F
7
F. Bruera
25'
F
F. Bruera
25'
F
33
G. Maroni
18'
M
G. Maroni
18'
M
11
N. Briasco
F
N. Briasco
F
1
Gastón Olveira
G
Gastón Olveira
G
30
A. Rodríguez
D
A. Rodríguez
D
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
27
Raúl Cáceres
D
6
R. Ortiz
51'
M
R. Ortiz
51'
M
37
R. Benitez
82'
M
R. Benitez
82'
M
20
E. Delmás
1 👟
69'
M
E. Delmás
1 👟
69'
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
7
F. Cardozo
1 ⚽
82'
M
F. Cardozo
1 ⚽
82'
M
17
Adrián Alcaraz
69'
F
Adrián Alcaraz
69'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Silva
39'
M
Alejandro Silva
39'
M
8
Alex Franco
1 ⚽
8'
M
29
I. Leguizamon
1 👟
8'
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
21'
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
F
Best on the pitch
G · Barracas
9.00
· 27 pass
Alex Franco
M · Olimpia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
E. Delmás
M · Olimpia
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
J. Morales
F · Barracas
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
T. Porra
M · Barracas
7.30
1 shots
· 19 pass
A. Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 shots
· 79 pass
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| R. Insúa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Demartini | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | 1 |
| F. Tobio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Capraro | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Martínez | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Tapia | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Bogarín | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Porra | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Candia | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Morales | F | 65 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Miloc | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Taborda | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Bruera | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Maroni | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Bentaberry | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Vargas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Raúl Cáceres | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Ortiz | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Delmás | M | 69 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Cardozo | M | 82 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Silva | M | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 8 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Leguizamon | M | 8 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Lezcano | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Olimpia?
The final score was Barracas Central 1–2 Olimpia.
What did the model predict before Barracas Central vs Olimpia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Barracas Central win, 28% to a draw, and 42% to an Olimpia win.