League Two
· Regular Season - 29
April 14, 2026 20:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Oldham, result Barrow wins
D. Rose
(ast. M. Williams)
82'
J. Gordon
83'
I. Fletcher
(ast. E. Newby)
90'+1
49'
(ast. J. Robson)
K. Payne
88'
T. Pett
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oldham a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Barrow 20%). The final result was Barrow 3–2 Oldham. In 1 previous meetings, Barrow have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oldham.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
S. Smith
11'
A. MacDonald
22'
49'
ast. J. Robson ·
K. Payne⚽
53'
D. Simeu
J. Gordon
61'
63'
J. Leake
/
D. Simeu
70'
O. Hammond
/
J. Garner
B. Whitfield
/ E. Newby
70'
S. Smith
/ I. Fletcher
74'
79'
J. Hawkes
/
K. Drummond
⚽D. Rose
· ast. M. Williams
82'
⚽J. Gordon
83'
88'
T. Pett⚽
⚽I. Fletcher
· ast. E. Newby
90'+1
E. Newby
/ J. Thompson
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
20.05%
Barrow ←
23.9%
X
56.05%
Oldham
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barrow)
20.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
—
—
1.66
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
D
2
A. MacDonald
D
4
M. Williams
1 👟
D
7
Ben Jackson
M
45
Rekeem Harper
M
14
C. McCann
M
C. McCann
M
8
S. Smith
74'
M
34
B. Whitfield
70'
M
33
Danny Rose
1 ⚽
F
25
Josh Gordon
1 ⚽
F
Josh Gordon
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
E. Newby
1 👟
19'
M
19
J. Malcolm
F
J. Malcolm
F
1
G
24
1 👟
D
6
D
40
Dynel Simeu
63'
D
16
W. Sutton
D
15
K. Drummond
79'
M
K. Drummond
79'
M
26
Kai Payne
1 ⚽
M
Kai Payne
1 ⚽
M
8
R. Woods
M
4
Tom Pett
1 ⚽
M
Tom Pett
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Fondop-Talum
F
M. Fondop-Talum
F
14
J. Garner
70'
F
J. Garner
70'
F
Bench
22
F. Jalo
F
3
Jake Leake
27'
D
Jake Leake
27'
D
21
Josh Hawkes
11'
M
Josh Hawkes
11'
M
7
K. Taylor
M
27
O. Hammond
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Danny Rose
F · Barrow
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Tom Pett
M · Oldham
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 47 pass
C. McCann
M · Barrow
7.90
1 shots
· 38 pass
Josh Gordon
F · Barrow
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
A. MacDonald
D · Barrow
6.90
· 19 pass
M. Williams
D · Barrow
6.90
1 👟
· 35 pass
Barrow — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. MacDonald | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Williams | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Ben Jackson | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Rekeem Harper | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McCann | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Smith | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Whitfield | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Danny Rose | F | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Gordon | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Newby | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
Oldham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Dynel Simeu | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Sutton | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Drummond | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kai Payne | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Woods | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Tom Pett | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Fondop-Talum | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Garner | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jake Leake | D | 27 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Josh Hawkes | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Hammond | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barrow vs Oldham?
The final score was Barrow 3–2 Oldham.
What did the model predict before Barrow vs Oldham?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Barrow win, 23% to a draw, and 56% to an Oldham win.