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Barton Town Old Boys - Chorley

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Barton Town Old Boys
vs
Chorley
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.86%
Win
Barton Town Old Boys
30.12%
Draw
30.02%
Win
Chorley
2.43
Expected xG
1.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.0%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barton Town Old Boys a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chorley. Expected goals are 2.4 for Barton Town Old Boys and 1.1 for Chorley (total 3.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.0% probability.

Season Stats

Barton Town Old Boys
3W 2D 1L
Chorley
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Barton Town Old Boys
3W 0D 1L · at home
Chorley
2W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.3
75%
Win %
67%
75%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
75%
O 2.5
33%
50%
O 3.5
33%
75%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barton Town Old Boys Chorley →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
1 7.0% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

Barton Town Old Boys Barton Town Old Boys
W Boldmere St. Michaels 3–1
W North Ferriby 2–0
D North Ferriby 0–0
L Carlton Town 1–6
W Loughborough University 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Chorley Chorley
W Rylands 0–1
L South Shields 4–1
W Congleton Town 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Barton Town Old Boys Barton Town Old Boys
Attack
42
Defence
88
Form
72
Chorley Chorley
Attack
37
Defence
62
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?
The model gives Barton Town Old Boys a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Chorley win.
How many goals are expected in Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?
Expected goals: Barton Town Old Boys 2.4, Chorley 1.1 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.0%.