Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 3
August 30, 2026 20:30
E. Shomurodov
(ast. U. Bozok)
18'
81'
(ast. A. Benedyczak)
F. Diabate
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Başakşehir a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Kasımpaşa 30%). The final result was Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa. In 2 previous meetings, Başakşehir have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
1.59
2
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Opoku
3'
O. Kemen
13'
⚽E. Shomurodov
· ast. U. Bozok
18'
46'
A. Kol
/
G. Yalcin
46'
F. Diabate
/
A. Dagbasi
A. Fayzullaev
/ Y. Sari
46'
55'
C. Winck
O. Kemen
/ O. Ergun
64'
71'
M. Rafferty
/
E. Mendes
U. Bozok
/ D. Selke
73'
A. Skov Olsen
/ H. Gureler
74'
81'
ast. A. Benedyczak ·
F. Diabate⚽
87'
E. Boz
/
A. Karapo
H. Gureler
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.84%
Başakşehir
31.07%
X ←
30.09%
Kasımpaşa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
0.76
-1.17
0.85
1.59
+0.74
Kasımpaşa dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Muhammed Şengezer
G
Muhammed Şengezer
G
21
C. Operi
D
C. Operi
D
3
J. Opoku
D
J. Opoku
D
23
Emin Bayram
D
Emin Bayram
D
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
D
Ömer Ali Şahiner
D
20
Umut Güneş
M
Umut Güneş
M
8
O. Kemen
64'
M
O. Kemen
64'
M
11
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
45'
M
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
45'
M
14
E. Shomurodov
1 ⚽
M
E. Shomurodov
1 ⚽
M
70
A. Skov Olsen
74'
M
A. Skov Olsen
74'
M
17
U. Bozok
1 👟
73'
F
U. Bozok
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
19
Berkay Özcan
M
Berkay Özcan
M
91
Bertuğ Yıldırım
F
Bertuğ Yıldırım
F
9
Davie Selke
17'
F
Davie Selke
17'
F
98
Deniz Dilmen
G
Deniz Dilmen
G
15
Hamza Güreler
16'
D
Hamza Güreler
16'
D
77
Ivan Brnić
F
Ivan Brnić
F
18
Jakub Kałuziński
M
Jakub Kałuziński
M
33
Michał Karbownik
D
Michał Karbownik
D
4
Onur Ergün
26'
M
Onur Ergün
26'
M
7
Yusuf Sarı
45'
F
Yusuf Sarı
45'
F
1
Andreas Gianniotis
G
Andreas Gianniotis
G
45
Ayberk Karapo
87'
D
Ayberk Karapo
87'
D
27
Matei Ilie
D
Matei Ilie
D
30
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
45'
D
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
45'
D
4
Adem Arous
D
Adem Arous
D
2
Cláudio Winck
D
Cláudio Winck
D
51
Elson Mendes
71'
M
Elson Mendes
71'
M
26
Kerem Demirbay
M
Kerem Demirbay
M
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
9
A. Benedyczak
1 👟
M
A. Benedyczak
1 👟
M
50
Güven Yalçın
45'
F
Güven Yalçın
45'
F
Bench
25
Ali Emre Yanar
G
Ali Emre Yanar
G
7
Ali Yavuz Kol
45'
F
Ali Yavuz Kol
45'
F
8
Atakan Mujde
M
Atakan Mujde
M
66
Emirhan Boz
3'
M
Emirhan Boz
3'
M
34
Fousseni Diabaté
1 ⚽
45'
F
Fousseni Diabaté
1 ⚽
45'
F
14
Kevin Mouanga
D
Kevin Mouanga
D
19
Marcus Rafferty
19'
M
Marcus Rafferty
19'
M
99
Muhammed Bektaş
F
Muhammed Bektaş
F
24
Salih Arici
D
Salih Arici
D
23
Sinan Alkaş
F
Sinan Alkaş
F
Best on the pitch
Umut Güneş
M · Başakşehir
7.70
· 99 pass
Fousseni Diabaté
F · Kasımpaşa
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Emin Bayram
D · Başakşehir
7.30
· 87 pass
Cláudio Winck
D · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 28 pass
Kerem Demirbay
M · Kasımpaşa
7.20
1 shots
· 50 pass
O. Kemen
M · Başakşehir
7.20
· 47 pass
Başakşehir — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammed Şengezer | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 40% | — | — | — |
| C. Operi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 52% | — | — | — |
| J. Opoku | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 80 | 75% | — | 1 | — |
| Emin Bayram | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 87 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Umut Güneş | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 99 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kemen | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| E. Shomurodov | M | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Skov Olsen | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| U. Bozok | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Davie Selke | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza Güreler | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Onur Ergün | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Yusuf Sarı | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gianniotis | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Ayberk Karapo | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Matei Ilie | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Adem Arous | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Elson Mendes | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Güven Yalçın | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Boz | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Fousseni Diabaté | F | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Rafferty | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The final score was Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa.
What did the model predict before Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Başakşehir win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Kasımpaşa win.