Ligue 2
· Regular Season - 31
April 18, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Saint Etienne, result Bastia wins
Alexandre Zaouai
1'
Joachim Eickmayer
(ast. Felix Tomi)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Saint Etienne a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Bastia 18%). The final result was Bastia 2–0 Saint Etienne. In 1 previous meetings, Bastia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Saint Etienne.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
2
25%
Possession
75%
2
Corners
6
19
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Alexandre Zaouai
1'
Anthony Roncaglia
8'
34'
Augustine Boakye
Juan Guevara
45'+1
53'
Joshua Duffus
/
Irvin Cardona
Anthony Roncaglia
/ Zakaria Ariss
59'
Ruben Beliandjou
/ Jeremy Sebas
60'
60'
Igor Miladinović
/
Aimen Moueffek
Alexandre Zaouai
/ Amine Boutrah
69'
Jocelyn Janneh
/ Joachim Eickmayer
69'
⚽Joachim Eickmayer
· ast. Felix Tomi
71'
74'
Joshua Duffus
Joachim Eickmayer
89'
Noah Zilliox
90'+8
Tom Meynadier
/ Noah Zilliox
90'
Pre-match prediction
18.9%
Bastia ←
17.25%
X
63.85%
Saint
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bastia)
18.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
2.32
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
28
G. Akueson
D
G. Akueson
D
4
A. Roncaglia
59'
D
A. Roncaglia
59'
D
15
F. Bohnert
M
F. Bohnert
M
66
J. Janneh
69'
M
J. Janneh
69'
M
13
T. Ducrocq
M
T. Ducrocq
M
24
T. Meynadier
89'
M
T. Meynadier
89'
M
18
Alexandre Zaouai
1 ⚽
69'
F
9
F. Tomi
1 👟
F
33
R. Beliandjou
60'
F
Bench
10
A. Boutrah
21'
F
17
J. Eickmayer
1 ⚽
21'
M
29
M. Merghem
F
M. Merghem
F
12
Noah Zilliox
1'
D
5
Zakaria Ariss
31'
D
Zakaria Ariss
31'
D
30
G. Larsonneur
G
G. Larsonneur
G
11
D
3
M. Nadé
D
M. Nadé
D
26
J. Le Cardinal
D
J. Le Cardinal
D
39
K. Pedro
D
K. Pedro
D
14
A. Kanté
M
A. Kanté
M
20
A. Boakye
M
A. Boakye
M
22
Z. Davitashvili
M
Z. Davitashvili
M
29
Aimen Moueffek
60'
M
Aimen Moueffek
60'
M
7
I. Cardona
53'
M
I. Cardona
53'
M
9
L. Stassin
F
L. Stassin
F
Bench
15
Chico Lamba
D
Chico Lamba
D
8
Dennis Appiah
D
Dennis Appiah
D
28
I. Miladinović
30'
M
I. Miladinović
30'
M
17
J. Duffus
37'
F
J. Duffus
37'
F
5
M. Jaber
M
M. Jaber
M
Best on the pitch
J. Le Cardinal
D · Saint
8.00
· 87 pass
J. Eickmayer
M · Bastia
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Alexandre Zaouai
F · Bastia
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
T. Meynadier
M · Bastia
7.70
· 17 pass
T. Ducrocq
M · Bastia
7.30
· 19 pass
Juan José Guevara Possu
D · Bastia
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
Bastia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Akueson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Roncaglia | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Bohnert | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Janneh | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Ducrocq | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Meynadier | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Zaouai | F | 69 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Tomi | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Beliandjou | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Boutrah | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eickmayer | M | 21 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Noah Zilliox | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Ariss | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Saint Etienne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Larsonneur | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| M. Nadé | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Le Cardinal | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 87 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Pedro | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 88 | 75% | — | — | — |
| A. Boakye | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Davitashvili | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Aimen Moueffek | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Cardona | M | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Stassin | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Miladinović | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Duffus | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bastia vs Saint Etienne?
The final score was Bastia 2–0 Saint Etienne.
What did the model predict before Bastia vs Saint Etienne?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Bastia win, 17% to a draw, and 63% to an Saint Etienne win.