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Bate Borisov - Naftan

Premier League September 13, 2026 17:00
Bate Borisov
#14 · 17 pts
vs
Naftan
#16 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.66%
Win
Bate Borisov
31.0%
Draw
17.35%
Win
Naftan
1.21
Expected xG
0.6

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.16%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 31%
2 17%
Double Chance ✓ 94.4% hit rate (18 picks)
1X 83%
X2 48%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bate Borisov a 51% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Naftan. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bate Borisov and 0.6 for Naftan (total 1.8), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.16% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bate Borisov have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Naftan.

Season Stats

Bate Borisov
2W 7D 6L
Naftan
2W 2D 11L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
0.9
1.3
Conceded
2.7
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
41%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
Bate Borisov
3W 2D 4L · at home
Naftan
0W 1D 9L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
3.5
33%
Win %
0%
56%
Win or Draw
10%
67%
O 1.5
100%
56%
O 2.5
80%
11%
O 3.5
70%
44%
BTTS
70%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bate Borisov Naftan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.4% 9.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 19.8% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 11.9% 7.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 4.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% — —
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
L Dinamo Brest 1–0
L FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0
W FC Minsk 2–1
D ML Vitebsk 0–0
W FC Vitebsk 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Naftan Naftan
L FC Minsk 0–3
L Dinamo Minsk 5–1
L FC Vitebsk 2–0
L Neman 0–2
L FC Gomel 6–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
Attack
16
Defence
70
Form
43
Naftan Naftan
Attack
26
Defence
32
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Bate Borisov
1
Draw
0
Naftan
10 May 2026 Premier League 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R. 20 42
2 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 19 40
3 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 19 40
4 FC Gomel FC Gomel 21 36
5 Neman Neman 21 34
6 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 21 34
7 FC Minsk FC Minsk 22 34
8 FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk 22 33
9 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 21 27
10 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 21 25
11 Baranovichi Baranovichi 22 25
12 Arsenal Arsenal 22 23
13 Belshina Belshina 21 18
14 Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 20 17
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 21 15
16 Naftan Naftan 21 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Naftan?
The model gives Bate Borisov a 51% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 17% for an Naftan win.
How many goals are expected in Bate Borisov vs Naftan?
Expected goals: Bate Borisov 1.2, Naftan 0.6 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Bate Borisov vs Naftan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.16%.