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Bayer Leverkusen - Beşiktaş

Europa League December 10, 2026 21:00
#8 · 3 pts
vs
#4 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.02%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
25.79%
Draw
28.19%
Win
Beşiktaş
1.98
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.89%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 26%
2 28%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 72%
X2 54%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 46% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Beşiktaş. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.2 for Beşiktaş (total 3.2), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.89% probability.

Season Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
1W 0D 0L
Beşiktaş
6W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.6
0.0
Conceded
0.9
8.0
Shots OT
5.2
6.0
Corners
4.8
56%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
56%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
22%
100%
Clean Sht
56%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Bayer Leverkusen
1W 0D 0L · at home
Beşiktaş
2W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.8
0.0
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayer Leverkusen Beşiktaş →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.8% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Celje 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
W Marseille 4–1
L Kauno Žalgiris 1–0
W Kauno Žalgiris 3–0
W Hradec Králové 1–0
W Hradec Králové 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
56
Defence
71
Form
62
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
Attack
59
Defence
75
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 46% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 28% for an Beşiktaş win.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş?
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.0, Beşiktaş 1.2 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.89%.