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Bayer Leverkusen - Celje

Europa League September 16, 2026 21:00
Bayer Leverkusen
#18 · 0 pts
vs
Celje
#7 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.41%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
19.24%
Draw
20.34%
Win
Celje
3.54
Expected xG
1.44
Most likely outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
60.41%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.95%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 19%
2 20%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 80%
X2 40%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 60% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Celje. Expected goals are 3.5 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.4 for Celje (total 5.0), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.95% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayer Leverkusen Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 2.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
Celje Celje
L AEK Larnaca 2–1
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
D Sabah FA 3–3
W Sabah FA 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
63
Defence
78
Form
70
Celje Celje
Attack
40
Defence
67
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 60% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 20% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje?
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 3.5, Celje 1.4 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.95%.