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Europa League · League Stage - 1 September 16, 2026 21:00
Bayer Leverkusen
#2 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Celje
#29 · 1 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bayer Leverkusen
S. Seslar 15' (og)
F. Medina (ast. A. Garcia) 74'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Celje 16%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Celje.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
3
1.93
Actual xG
0.90
3
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
14
Match Events
⚽S. Seslar (og)
15'
↕ Lucas / J. Quansah
60'
↕ M. Terrier / A. Moreira
61'
↕ M. Tillman / E. Fernandez
61'
61'
B. Kramer / A. Kucys ↕
61'
M. Ivansek / Y. Dukuly ↕
69'
V. Tusha / B. Verbic ↕
↕ P. Schick / C. Kofane
71'
⚽F. Medina · ast. A. Garcia
74'
↕ M. Diaby / E. Ben Seghir
80'
80'
P. Daniel / L. Ticic ↕
Pre-match prediction
66.81%
Bayer ←
16.31%
X
16.88%
Celje
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 66.81% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayer
3.92
1.93
-1.99
Celje
1.74
0.90
-0.84
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
1 M. Flekken M. Flekken G 8.30
2 F. Medina F. Medina 1 ⚽ D 7.90
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba D 7.90
5 L. Badé L. Badé D 7.70
17 Lucas Vázquez Lucas Vázquez 60' D 7.70
24 Aleix García Aleix García 1 👟 M 7.90
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich M 6.50
19 M. Diaby M. Diaby 80' M 6.60
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 61' M 6.30
11 M. Terrier M. Terrier 61' M 6.30
14 P. Schick P. Schick 71' F 6.90
Bench
9 Afonso Moreira Afonso Moreira 32' F 6.30
35 Christian Kofane Christian Kofane 22' F 6.50
6 E. Fernández E. Fernández 32' M 6.30
29 Eliesse Ben Seghir Eliesse Ben Seghir 13' F 6.60
28 J. Blaswich J. Blaswich G
4 J. Quansah J. Quansah 33' D 6.90
3 Miguel Gutiérrez Miguel Gutiérrez D
36 N. Lomb N. Lomb G
Celje Celje 4-2-3-1
1 Žan-Luk Leban Žan-Luk Leban G 8.70
11 M. Avdyli M. Avdyli D 6.60
6 A. Tutyškinas A. Tutyškinas D 7.00
44 Ł. Bejger Ł. Bejger D 6.20
2 P. Širvys P. Širvys D 6.90
19 M. Zabukovnik M. Zabukovnik M 7.20
14 L. Tičić L. Tičić 80' M 6.60
7 B. Verbič B. Verbič 69' M 6.30
10 S. Sešlar S. Sešlar 1 ⚽ M 6.20
91 Y. Dukuly Y. Dukuly 61' M 6.50
47 A. Kučys A. Kučys 61' F 6.50
Bench
20 A. Dionkou A. Dionkou D
9 B. Kramer B. Kramer 32' F 6.20
4 D. Hrka D. Hrka M
31 D. Suhovrsnik D. Suhovrsnik F
12 L. Kolar L. Kolar G
33 L. Koútris L. Koútris D
77 M. Ivanšek M. Ivanšek 32' F 6.30
8 M. Kvesić M. Kvesić M
13 Papa Mustapha Daniel Papa Mustapha Daniel 13' M 6.30
25 V. Tusha V. Tusha 24' F 6.30
23 Ž. Frelih Ž. Frelih G
Best on the pitch
Žan-Luk Leban
Žan-Luk Leban
G · Celje
8.70
· 33 pass
M. Flekken
M. Flekken
G · Bayer
8.30
· 20 pass
F. Medina
F. Medina
D · Bayer
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 63 pass
E. Tapsoba
E. Tapsoba
D · Bayer
7.90
1 shots · 82 pass
Aleix García
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 87 pass
L. Badé
L. Badé
D · Bayer
7.70
· 100 pass
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Flekken G 93 8.30 — — — 20 13% — — —
F. Medina D 93 7.90 1 — 2 63 54% 3 — —
E. Tapsoba D 93 7.90 — — 1 82 77% 2 — —
L. Badé D 93 7.70 — — — 100 97% 1 — —
Lucas Vázquez D 60 7.70 — — — 43 40% — — —
Aleix García M 93 7.90 — 1 3 87 77% 2 — —
R. Andrich M 93 6.50 — — — 72 62% — — —
M. Diaby M 80 6.60 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
M. Tillman M 61 6.30 — — — 32 23% — — —
M. Terrier M 61 6.30 — — 2 22 20% 1 — —
P. Schick F 71 6.90 — — 2 15 11% — — —
Afonso Moreira F 32 6.30 — — 1 8 8% 1 — —
Christian Kofane F 22 6.50 — — 2 2 2% — — —
E. Fernández M 32 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
Eliesse Ben Seghir F 13 6.60 — — — 6 5% 2 — —
J. Quansah D 33 6.90 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Celje Celje — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Žan-Luk Leban G 93 8.70 — — — 33 28% — — —
M. Avdyli D 93 6.60 — — — 59 54% 4 — —
A. Tutyškinas D 93 7.00 — — — 54 50% 1 — —
Ł. Bejger D 93 6.20 — — — 53 48% — — —
P. Širvys D 93 6.90 — — — 49 44% 3 — —
M. Zabukovnik M 93 7.20 — — — 70 67% 3 — —
L. Tičić M 80 6.60 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
B. Verbič M 69 6.30 — — 2 20 15% — — —
S. Sešlar M 93 6.20 1 — 1 55 47% 2 — —
Y. Dukuly M 61 6.50 — — 1 14 10% — — —
A. Kučys F 61 6.50 — — — 12 10% — — —
B. Kramer F 32 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Ivanšek F 32 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
Papa Mustapha Daniel M 13 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
V. Tusha F 24 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Celje.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an Celje win.