Bayer Leverkusen - Marseille
Europa League
November 05, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.52%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
26.19%
Draw
26.28%
Win
Marseille
2.72
1.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.63%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
26%
2
26%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
74%
X2
53%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Marseille. Expected goals are 2.7 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.2 for Marseille (total 3.9), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.63% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
0.0
Conceded
4.0
8.0
Shots OT
3.0
6.0
Corners
3.0
56%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Bayer Leverkusen
Marseille →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
56
Defence
71
Form
62
Marseille
Attack
41
Defence
46
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Marseille win.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.7, Marseille 1.2 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.63%.