P. Schick
(ast. N. Tella)
25'
N. Tella
(ast. A. Garcia)
45'
P. Schick
(ast. I. Maza)
76'
P. Schick
(ast. A. Grimaldo)
89'
80'
(ast. B. Gruda)
C. Baumgartner
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 43% win probability (draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 38%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Leipzig.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
4.38
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
3
18
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
M. Finkgrafe
⚽P. Schick
· ast. N. Tella
25'
⚽N. Tella
· ast. A. Garcia
45'
46'
B. Gruda
/
A. Nusa
46'
C. Lukeba
/
E. Bitshiabu
65'
A. Ouedraogo
/
N. Seiwald
65'
C. Harder
/
Romulo Cardoso
72'
X. Schlager
⚽P. Schick
· ast. I. Maza
76'
N. Tella
/ E. Poku
77'
M. Culbreath
/ Arthur
77'
80'
ast. B. Gruda ·
C. Baumgartner⚽
84'
B. Henrichs
/
M. Finkgrafe
84'
C. Baumgartner
A. Garcia
/ E. Fernandez
85'
I. Maza
/ M. Tillman
85'
M. Tillman
86'
⚽P. Schick
· ast. A. Grimaldo
89'
P. Schick
/ C. Kofane
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.11%
Bayer ←
18.18%
X
43.71%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen)
38.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.35
4.38
+2.03
2.84
1.14
-1.71
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (4.38 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
12
E. Tapsoba
D
E. Tapsoba
D
8
R. Andrich
D
R. Andrich
D
4
J. Quansah
D
J. Quansah
D
20
Álex Grimaldo
1 👟
M
Álex Grimaldo
1 👟
M
25
Exequiel Palacios
M
Exequiel Palacios
M
24
Aleix García
1 👟
85'
M
Aleix García
1 👟
85'
M
42
Montrell Culbreath
77'
M
Montrell Culbreath
77'
M
23
N. Tella
1 ⚽
1 👟
77'
F
30
Ibrahim Maza
1 👟
85'
F
Ibrahim Maza
1 👟
85'
F
14
P. Schick
3 ⚽
89'
F
P. Schick
3 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
35
Christian Kofane
1'
F
19
E. Poku
13'
F
E. Poku
13'
F
6
Ezequiel Fernández
10'
M
Ezequiel Fernández
10'
M
28
Janis Blaswich
G
Janis Blaswich
G
10
M. Tillman
10'
M
M. Tillman
10'
M
26
G
35
Max Finkgräfe
84'
D
Max Finkgräfe
84'
D
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
45'
D
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
45'
D
4
W. Orbán
D
W. Orbán
D
17
Ridle Baku
D
Ridle Baku
D
14
C. Baumgartner
1 ⚽
M
C. Baumgartner
1 ⚽
M
13
Nicolas Seiwald
65'
M
Nicolas Seiwald
65'
M
24
Xaver Schlager
M
Xaver Schlager
M
7
Antonio Nusa
45'
F
Antonio Nusa
45'
F
40
Rômulo
65'
F
Rômulo
65'
F
49
Y. Diomande
F
Y. Diomande
F
Bench
20
A. Ouédraogo
25'
M
A. Ouédraogo
25'
M
10
Brajan Gruda
1 👟
45'
F
Brajan Gruda
1 👟
45'
F
23
Castello Lukeba
45'
D
Castello Lukeba
45'
D
11
Conrad Harder
25'
F
Conrad Harder
25'
F
22
D. Raum
D
D. Raum
D
16
L. Klostermann
D
Best on the pitch
N. Tella
F · Bayer
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 21 pass
P. Schick
F · Bayer
9.30
3 ⚽
7 shots
· 19 pass
Álex Grimaldo
M · Bayer
8.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 58 pass
Aleix García
M · Bayer
8.90
1 👟
· 74 pass
Ibrahim Maza
F · Bayer
7.70
1 👟
· 30 pass
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D · RB
7.50
· 29 pass
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Andrich | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | M | 90 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| Exequiel Palacios | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Aleix García | M | 85 | 8.90 | — | 1 | — | 74 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Tella | F | 77 | 9.30 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Maza | F | 85 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 89 | 9.30 | 3 | — | 7 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Poku | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
RB Leipzig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Antonio Nusa | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Diomande | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Ouédraogo | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Brajan Gruda | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Castello Lukeba | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Conrad Harder | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 18% to a draw, and 43% to an RB Leipzig win.