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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 18:30
Bayer Leverkusen
#6 · 58 pts
4 – 1
Final score
RB Leipzig
#3 · 65 pts
P. Schick (ast. N. Tella) 25'
N. Tella (ast. A. Garcia) 45'
P. Schick (ast. I. Maza) 76'
P. Schick (ast. A. Grimaldo) 89'
80' (ast. B. Gruda) C. Baumgartner

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 43% win probability (draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 38%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig. In 1 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
5
4.38
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
3
18
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
M. Finkgrafe
⚽P. Schick · ast. N. Tella
25'
⚽N. Tella · ast. A. Garcia
45'
46'
B. Gruda / A. Nusa ↕
46'
C. Lukeba / E. Bitshiabu ↕
65'
A. Ouedraogo / N. Seiwald ↕
65'
C. Harder / Romulo Cardoso ↕
72'
X. Schlager
⚽P. Schick · ast. I. Maza
76'
↕ N. Tella / E. Poku
77'
↕ M. Culbreath / Arthur
77'
80'
ast. B. Gruda · C. Baumgartner⚽
84'
B. Henrichs / M. Finkgrafe ↕
84'
C. Baumgartner
↕ A. Garcia / E. Fernandez
85'
↕ I. Maza / M. Tillman
85'
M. Tillman
86'
⚽P. Schick · ast. A. Grimaldo
89'
↕ P. Schick / C. Kofane
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.11%
Bayer ←
18.18%
X
43.71%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 38.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayer
2.35
4.38
+2.03
RB
2.84
1.14
-1.71
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (4.38 vs 1.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba D 7.20
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich D 7.00
4
J. Quansah D 6.20
20
A. Grimaldo 1 👟 M 8.90
25 E. Palacios E. Palacios M 7.20
24 Aleix García Aleix García 1 👟 85' M 8.90
42
M. Culbreath 77' M 6.90
23
N. Tella 1 ⚽ 1 👟 77' F 9.30
30 I. Maza I. Maza 1 👟 85' F 7.70
14 P. Schick P. Schick 3 ⚽ 89' F 9.30
Bench
35
Christian Kofane 1' F
6
E. Fernandez 10' M 6.60
19 E. Poku E. Poku 13' F 6.70
28
J. Blaswich G
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 10' M 6.60
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-3-3
26
G 5.90
35
M. Finkgrafe 84' D 5.90
5
E. Bitshiabu 45' D 7.50
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 6.60
17
R. Baku D 5.50
14 C. Baumgartner C. Baumgartner 1 ⚽ M 7.20
13
Nicolas Seiwald 65' M 6.90
24
Xaver Schlager M 6.60
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 45' F 6.60
40
Romulo Cardoso 65' F 6.50
49
Y. Diomande F 6.00
Bench
20
A. Ouedraogo 25' M 6.20
10
B. Gruda 1 👟 45' F 6.90
11
C. Harder 25' F 6.30
23
C. Lukeba 45' D 6.60
22 D. Raum D. Raum D
16
L. Klostermann D
Best on the pitch
N. Tella
F · Bayer
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 21 pass
P. Schick
P. Schick
F · Bayer
9.30
3 ⚽
7 shots · 19 pass
A. Grimaldo
M · Bayer
8.90
1 👟
2 shots · 58 pass
Aleix García
Aleix García
M · Bayer
8.90
1 👟
· 74 pass
I. Maza
I. Maza
F · Bayer
7.70
1 👟
· 30 pass
E. Bitshiabu
D · RB
7.50
· 29 pass
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 29 21% — — —
E. Tapsoba D 90 7.20 — — — 57 55% 2 — —
R. Andrich D 90 7.00 — — — 57 52% — — —
J. Quansah D 90 6.20 — — 2 45 39% — — —
A. Grimaldo M 90 8.90 — 1 2 58 53% 5 — —
E. Palacios M 90 7.20 — — — 64 59% 2 — —
Aleix García M 85 8.90 — 1 — 74 71% 1 — —
M. Culbreath M 77 6.90 — — 1 33 30% 2 — —
N. Tella F 77 9.30 1 1 4 21 18% 3 — —
I. Maza F 85 7.70 — 1 — 30 19% 2 — —
P. Schick F 89 9.30 3 — 7 19 18% — — —
Christian Kofane F 1 — — — — — — — — —
E. Fernandez M 10 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
E. Poku F 13 6.70 — — — 5 3% — — —
M. Tillman M 10 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 1 —
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
M. Finkgrafe D 84 5.90 — — 2 28 26% 2 1 —
E. Bitshiabu D 45 7.50 — — — 29 29% 1 — —
W. Orbán D 90 6.60 — — — 56 50% 4 — —
R. Baku D 90 5.50 — — — 41 35% 2 — —
C. Baumgartner M 90 7.20 1 — 1 34 28% 1 1 —
Nicolas Seiwald M 65 6.90 — — 1 35 34% 3 — —
Xaver Schlager M 90 6.60 — — 1 49 45% 2 1 —
A. Nusa F 45 6.60 — — 1 8 7% 2 — —
Romulo Cardoso F 65 6.50 — — 2 12 10% 1 — —
Y. Diomande F 90 6.00 — — 1 32 25% — — —
A. Ouedraogo M 25 6.20 — — — 9 6% — — —
B. Gruda F 45 6.90 — 1 1 18 13% — — —
C. Harder F 25 6.30 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
C. Lukeba D 45 6.60 — — — 35 28% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 18% to a draw, and 43% to an RB Leipzig win.