Skip to main content
← Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen - Red Bull Salzburg

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
Bayer Leverkusen
#2 · 9 pts
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
#21 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.27%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
25.0%
Draw
33.73%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
2.24
Expected xG
1.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.48%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 41%
X 25%
2 34%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 66%
X2 59%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 69%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 41% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Red Bull Salzburg. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.9 for Red Bull Salzburg (total 4.1), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.48% probability.

Season Stats

Bayer Leverkusen
3W 0D 0L
Red Bull Salzburg
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.4
0.0
Conceded
1.6
11.0
Shots OT
5.3
7.0
Corners
4.3
60%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
53%
0%
BTTS
40%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Bayer Leverkusen
1W 0D 0L · at home
Red Bull Salzburg
2W 2D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.2
0.0
Conceded
1.9
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
63%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayer Leverkusen Red Bull Salzburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.8% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W OFI 0–2
W Lech Poznan 0–4
W Celje 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
D Celje 2–2
L AC Milan 0–4
W Levski Sofia 0–1
W Mjallby AIF 3–0
W Mjallby AIF 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
60
Defence
64
Form
67
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
48
Defence
64
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 41% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an Red Bull Salzburg win.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.2, Red Bull Salzburg 1.9 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Red Bull Salzburg?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.48%.