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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 October 18, 2026 15:30 BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
#4 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
SC Freiburg
#3 · 13 pts
Ibrahim Maza (ast. Patrik Schick) 19'
Patrik Schick (ast. Ibrahim Maza) 76'
14' (ast. Philipp Treu) Derry Lionel Scherhant
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 43% win probability (draw 28%, SC Freiburg 27%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg. In 2 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Freiburg.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
1.67
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
3
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
ast. Philipp Treu · Derry Lionel Scherhant⚽
⚽Ibrahim Maza · ast. Patrik Schick
19'
39'
Philipp Treu
↕ Afonso Moreira / Nathan Tella
59'
64'
Lukas Kübler / Philipp Treu ↕
65'
Lucas Höler / Keisuke Goto ↕
↕ Moussa Diaby / Malik Tillman
73'
⚽Patrik Schick · ast. Ibrahim Maza
76'
77'
Patrick Osterhage / Yannick Engelhardt ↕
77'
Cyriaque Irié / Jan-Niklas Beste ↕
↕ Ibrahim Maza / Jonas Hofmann
84'
89'
Vincenzo Grifo / Derry Lionel Scherhant ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.89%
Bayer ←
28.13%
X
27.98%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 43.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayer
2.34
1.67
-0.67
SC
1.40
1.08
-0.32
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
1 M. Flekken M. Flekken G 6.89
3 Miguel Gutiérrez Miguel Gutiérrez D 6.57
2 F. Medina F. Medina D 6.49
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba D 6.76
4 J. Quansah J. Quansah D 6.48
6 E. Fernández E. Fernández M 6.72
24 Aleix García Aleix García M 6.72
9 Afonso Moreira Afonso Moreira 59' M 6.34
30 I. Maza I. Maza 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' M 8.54
19 M. Diaby M. Diaby 73' M 6.27
14 P. Schick P. Schick 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.66
Bench
28 J. Blaswich J. Blaswich G 0.00
7 J. Hofmann J. Hofmann 6' M 6.22
5 L. Badé L. Badé D 0.00
17 Lucas Vázquez Lucas Vázquez D 0.00
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 17' M 6.24
23 N. Tella N. Tella 31' F 6.62
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich M 0.00
15 T. Oermann T. Oermann D 0.00
22 V. Boniface V. Boniface F 0.00
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 6.78
33 J. Makengo J. Makengo D 6.81
3 P. Lienhart P. Lienhart D 6.86
28 M. Ginter M. Ginter D 6.65
29 P. Treu P. Treu 1 👟 64' D 6.68
16 Yannick Engelhardt Yannick Engelhardt 77' M 6.04
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein M 6.37
7 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.10
42 K. Goto K. Goto 65' M 5.86
19 J. Beste J. Beste 77' M 6.27
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović F 6.10
Bench
30 C. Günter C. Günter D 0.00
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié Cyriaque Kalou Irié 13' F 6.55
21 F. Müller F. Müller G 0.00
9 L. Höler L. Höler 25' F 6.25
17 L. Kübler L. Kübler 26' D 6.20
37 M. Rosenfelder M. Rosenfelder D 0.00
6 P. Osterhage P. Osterhage 13' M 6.13
20 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto M 0.00
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 1' M 5.99
Best on the pitch
P. Schick
P. Schick
F · Bayer
8.66
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 20 pass
I. Maza
I. Maza
M · Bayer
8.54
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
D. Scherhant
D. Scherhant
M · SC
8.10
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
M. Flekken
M. Flekken
G · Bayer
6.89
· 31 pass
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
D · SC
6.86
· 72 pass
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
D · SC
6.81
· 40 pass
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Flekken G 90 6.89 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
Miguel Gutiérrez D 90 6.57 — — 0 27 23% 0 — —
F. Medina D 90 6.49 — — 1 74 61% 2 — —
E. Tapsoba D 90 6.76 — — 0 67 60% 0 — —
J. Quansah D 90 6.48 — — 0 50 42% 1 — —
E. Fernández M 90 6.72 — — 0 45 37% 10 — —
Aleix García M 90 6.72 — — 0 76 71% 3 — —
Afonso Moreira M 59 6.34 — — 2 19 17% 0 — —
I. Maza M 84 8.54 1 1 2 33 30% 1 — —
M. Diaby M 73 6.27 — — 0 26 17% 0 — —
P. Schick F 90 8.66 1 1 5 20 15% 1 — —
J. Hofmann M 6 6.22 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Tillman M 17 6.24 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
N. Tella F 31 6.62 — — 2 10 9% 0 — —
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 6.78 — — 0 40 33% 0 — —
J. Makengo D 90 6.81 — — 0 40 35% 0 — —
P. Lienhart D 90 6.86 — — 0 72 65% 3 — —
M. Ginter D 90 6.65 — — 0 62 56% 1 — —
P. Treu D 64 6.68 — 1 0 37 35% 2 1 —
Yannick Engelhardt M 77 6.04 — — 0 69 58% 1 — —
M. Eggestein M 90 6.37 — — 1 57 49% 1 — —
D. Scherhant M 89 8.10 1 — 1 23 21% 1 — —
K. Goto M 65 5.86 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
J. Beste M 77 6.27 — — 1 25 20% 0 — —
I. Matanović F 90 6.10 — — 3 33 24% 2 — —
Cyriaque Kalou Irié F 13 6.55 — — 2 7 4% 0 — —
L. Höler F 25 6.25 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
L. Kübler D 26 6.20 — — 0 11 6% 1 — —
P. Osterhage M 13 6.13 — — 1 6 6% 0 — —
V. Grifo M 1 5.99 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an SC Freiburg win.