Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 15:30 BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

#4 · 13 pts

6 – 3

Final score

VfL Wolfsburg

✓Model correct — prediction Bayer Leverkusen

A. Grimaldo 30' (pen.)

A. Grimaldo (ast. E. Fernandez) 44'

P. Schick 53' (pen.)

E. Tapsoba 68'

I. Maza (ast. E. Palacios) 73'

M. Tillman (ast. E. Poku) 90'

16' (ast. K. Koulierakis) J. Wind

31' J. Maehle

(pen.) 38' C. Eriksen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 75% win probability (draw 15%, VfL Wolfsburg 8%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 6–3 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics

21

Total shots

10

11

Shots on target

5

4.20

Actual xG

2.02

2

Saves

5

69%

Possession

31%

12

Corners

2

11

Tackles

19

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

16'

ast. K. Koulierakis · J. Wind⚽

29'

Joakim Mæhle

⚽A. Grimaldo (pen.)

30'

31'

J. Maehle⚽

36'

Edmond Tapsoba

37'

38'

(pen.) C. Eriksen⚽

⚽A. Grimaldo · ast. E. Fernandez

44'

↕ E. Fernandez / P. Schick

46'

⚽P. Schick (pen.)

53'

55'

Konstantinos Koulierakis

66'

J. Lindstrom / P. Wimmer ↕

⚽E. Tapsoba

68'

71'

Denis Vavro

⚽I. Maza · ast. E. Palacios

73'

↕ N. Tella / E. Poku

81'

81'

M. Arnold / C. Eriksen ↕

81'

D. Pejcinovic / J. Wind ↕

82'

M. Svanberg / S. Kumbedi ↕

↕ C. Kofane / M. Tillman

88'

⚽M. Tillman · ast. E. Poku

90'

Pre-match prediction

75.96%

Bayer ←

15.74%

X

8.3%

VfL

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 75.96% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bayer

2.49

4.20

+1.71

VfL

0.76

2.02

+1.26

Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (4.20 vs 2.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3

Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.60

12 E. Tapsoba 1 ⚽ D 6.90

5

D 6.70

8 R. Andrich D 6.20

20 Álex Grimaldo 2 ⚽ M 9.00

6 E. Fernández 1 👟 45' M 6.50

25 E. Palacios 1 👟 M 7.90

42 Montrell Culbreath M 6.50

23 N. Tella 81' F 7.30

30 I. Maza 1 ⚽ F 8.90

35 Christian Kofane 88' F 6.50

Bench

19 Ernest Poku 1 👟 9' F 7.90

28 J. Blaswich G

10 M. Tillman 1 ⚽ 9' M 7.60

14 P. Schick 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.00

VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.70

4 K. Koulierakis 1 👟 D 5.60

3 D. Vavro D 5.90

6 J. Belocian D 5.60

21 J. Mæhle 1 ⚽ M 6.30

5 Vinicius Souza M 6.70

24 C. Eriksen 1 ⚽ 81' M 6.90

26 S. Kumbedi 82' M 6.00

9 M. Amoura F 6.20

39 P. Wimmer 66' F 6.90

23 J. Wind 1 ⚽ 81' F 8.50

Bench

11 A. Daghim F

25 A. Zehnter D

17 D. Pejčinović 9' F 6.30

19 J. Lindstrøm 24' M 6.70

7 K. Shiogai F

32 M. Svanberg 8' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

Álex Grimaldo

M · Bayer

9.00

2 ⚽

4 shots · 79 pass

I. Maza

F · Bayer

8.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 55 pass

J. Wind

F · VfL

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

Ernest Poku

F · Bayer

7.90

1 👟

· 6 pass

E. Palacios

M · Bayer

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 122 pass

M. Tillman

M · Bayer

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 9 pass

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	15	8%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	90	6.90	1	—	1	83	73%	1	1	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	2	70	67%	1	—	—
R. Andrich	D	90	6.20	—	—	2	72	62%	1	—	—
Álex Grimaldo	M	90	9.00	2	—	4	79	71%	1	—	—
E. Fernández	M	45	6.50	—	1	1	27	25%	—	—	—
E. Palacios	M	90	7.90	—	1	1	122	109%	2	—	—
Montrell Culbreath	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	35	27%	2	—	—
N. Tella	F	81	7.30	—	—	3	30	27%	—	—	—
I. Maza	F	90	8.90	1	—	3	55	42%	2	—	—
Christian Kofane	F	88	6.50	—	—	—	12	9%	1	—	—
Ernest Poku	F	9	7.90	—	1	—	6	5%	—	—	—
M. Tillman	M	9	7.60	1	—	1	9	9%	—	—	—
P. Schick	F	45	7.00	1	—	2	8	7%	—	—	—

VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	35	22%	—	—	—
K. Koulierakis	D	90	5.60	—	1	1	29	26%	2	1	—
D. Vavro	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	25	21%	1	1	—
J. Belocian	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	25	24%	1	—	—
J. Mæhle	M	90	6.30	1	—	1	20	17%	1	1	—
Vinicius Souza	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	29	24%	4	—	—
C. Eriksen	M	81	6.90	1	—	1	31	23%	1	—	—
S. Kumbedi	M	82	6.00	—	—	—	15	11%	3	—	—
M. Amoura	F	90	6.20	—	—	3	16	8%	2	—	—
P. Wimmer	F	66	6.90	—	—	1	19	10%	2	—	—
J. Wind	F	81	8.50	1	—	1	20	14%	—	—	—
D. Pejčinović	F	9	6.30	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
J. Lindstrøm	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
M. Svanberg	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—