← Regionalliga - SudWest

Bayern Alzenau - SGV Freiberg

Regionalliga - SudWest May 16, 2026 14:00
Bayern Alzenau
#15 · 26 pts
vs
SGV Freiberg
#2 · 61 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light showers 10.8°C 💨 9 km/h · Alzenau
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.86%
Win
Bayern Alzenau
20.46%
Draw
52.68%
Win
SGV Freiberg
1.38
Expected xG
2.05

The ForzaPitch prediction gives SGV Freiberg a 52% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Bayern Alzenau. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bayern Alzenau and 2.0 for SGV Freiberg (total 3.4), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern Alzenau have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SGV Freiberg.

Score Matrix
↕ Bayern Alzenau SGV Freiberg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 6.7% 6.8% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.5% 9.2% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau
L FC 08 Homburg 5–2
L FSV Frankfurt 1–3
L SV Sandhausen 1–2
W FC Astoria Walldorf 0–3
L SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
L SV Sandhausen 1–2
W Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 0–2
L FSV Mainz 05 II 1–2
L SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4–0
L TSV Steinbach 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 30%
Playing profile
Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau
Attack
38
Defence
28
Form
27
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
Attack
28
Defence
53
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Bayern Alzenau
1
Draw
0
SGV Freiberg
D 15 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - SudWest 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33 68
2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 33 61
3 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 33 54
4 SV Sandhausen SV Sandhausen 33 54
5 FC 08 Homburg FC 08 Homburg 33 53
6 TSV Steinbach TSV Steinbach 33 53
7 FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II 33 53
8 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 33 51
9 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers 33 51
10 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 33 49
11 Freiburg II Freiburg II 33 45
12 FC Astoria Walldorf FC Astoria Walldorf 33 44
13 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 33 44
14 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 33 43
15 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 33 26
16 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 33 25
17 Balingen Balingen 33 25
18 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern Alzenau vs SGV Freiberg?
The model gives Bayern Alzenau a 26% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 52% for an SGV Freiberg win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern Alzenau vs SGV Freiberg?
Expected goals: Bayern Alzenau 1.4, SGV Freiberg 2.0 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern Alzenau vs SGV Freiberg?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.4%.