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← DFB Pokal

Bayern München - 1. FC Magdeburg

DFB Pokal October 28, 2026 20:45 Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München
vs
1. FC Magdeburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.98%
Win
Bayern München
15.56%
Draw
17.46%
Win
1. FC Magdeburg
4.31
Expected xG
2.25
Most likely outcome
Bayern München
66.98%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–2 (5.92%)
1X2 Result
1 67%
X 16%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 33%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 90%
✓ 97.5% hit rate (40 picks)
Over 2.5 78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 66% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 17% for 1. FC Magdeburg. Expected goals are 4.3 for Bayern München and 2.3 for 1. FC Magdeburg (total 6.6), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.92% probability.

Season Stats

Bayern München
7W 0D 0L
1. FC Magdeburg
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.8
0.9
Conceded
1.0
9.0
Shots OT
6.8
4.9
Corners
5.3
63%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
57%
BTTS
50%
43%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Bayern München
2W 0D 0L · at home
1. FC Magdeburg
3W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.8
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
75%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayern München 1. FC Magdeburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
2 1.3% 3.0% 3.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
3 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
4 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
5 1.8% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8%

Recent form

Bayern München Bayern München
W VfL Osnabrück 1–4
W VfB Stuttgart 3–0
W Bayer Leverkusen 0–2
W RB Leipzig 2–0
W Union Berlin 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
W Bahlinger SC 0–4
L RB Leipzig 3–1
W Illertissen 0–3
W FC Saarbrücken 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Bayern München Bayern München
Attack
84
Defence
69
Form
74
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
Attack
58
Defence
66
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model gives Bayern München a 66% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 17% for an 1. FC Magdeburg win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Expected goals: Bayern München 4.3, 1. FC Magdeburg 2.3 (total 6.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.92%.