Bayern München - Arsenal
Champions League
October 21, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.51%
Win
Bayern München
30.21%
Draw
27.28%
Win
Arsenal
1.46
0.67
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.78%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
30%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
58%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Arsenal. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bayern München and 0.7 for Arsenal (total 2.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arsenal.
Season Stats
12W
1D
2L
11W
4D
0L
Averages per game
3.2
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
0.5
8.3
Shots OT
5.9
5.5
Corners
5.5
61%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
73%
87%
O 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
43%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
7W
1D
0L
· at home
6W
3D
0L
· away
3.2
gls/g
1.8
0.9
Conceded
0.4
88%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
78%
75%
O 2.5
33%
75%
O 3.5
11%
63%
BTTS
44%
38%
Clean Sht
56%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Bayern München
Arsenal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 12.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bayern München
Attack
66
Defence
72
Form
67
Arsenal
Attack
46
Defence
67
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
26 Nov 2025
1–3
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
The model gives Bayern München a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 27% for an Arsenal win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern München vs Arsenal?
Expected goals: Bayern München 1.5, Arsenal 0.7 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München vs Arsenal?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.78%.