Bayern München - Aston Villa
Friendlies Clubs
August 07, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.64%
Win
Bayern München
31.61%
Draw
32.74%
Win
Aston Villa
2.03
1.7
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.77%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bayern München and 1.7 for Aston Villa (total 3.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.77% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
3L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.2
1.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Bayern München
Aston Villa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bayern München
Attack
41
Defence
61
Form
51
Aston Villa
Attack
54
Defence
49
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern München vs Aston Villa?
The model gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Aston Villa win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern München vs Aston Villa?
Expected goals: Bayern München 2.0, Aston Villa 1.7 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München vs Aston Villa?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.77%.