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Bayern München - Hertha BSC

DFB Pokal December 01, 2026 20:00
Bayern München
vs
Hertha BSC
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.89%
Win
Bayern München
17.65%
Draw
26.46%
Win
Hertha BSC
3.71
Expected xG
2.57
Most likely outcome
Bayern München
55.89%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 7 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–2 (5.83%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 18%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 44%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 82%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 55% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 26% for Hertha BSC. Expected goals are 3.7 for Bayern München and 2.6 for Hertha BSC (total 6.3), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.83% probability.

Season Stats

Bayern München
8W 0D 0L
Hertha BSC
3W 3D 0L
Averages per game
3.4
Goals
2.0
0.9
Conceded
0.3
8.9
Shots OT
5.0
5.0
Corners
5.7
63%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
75%
O 2.5
33%
63%
BTTS
33%
38%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
Bayern München
3W 0D 0L · at home
Hertha BSC
1W 2D 0L · away
3.7
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
0.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayern München Hertha BSC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
2 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
3 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
4 1.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
5 1.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%

Recent form

Bayern München Bayern München
W 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1
W VfL Osnabrück 1–4
W VfB Stuttgart 3–0
W Bayer Leverkusen 0–2
W RB Leipzig 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
W SSV Jeddeloh 0–2
D FC Saarbrücken 1–1
D SC Freiburg 0–0
W 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6–1
W SV Elversberg 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

Bayern München Bayern München
Attack
79
Defence
64
Form
69
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
Attack
61
Defence
75
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern München vs Hertha BSC?
The model gives Bayern München a 55% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 26% for an Hertha BSC win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern München vs Hertha BSC?
Expected goals: Bayern München 3.7, Hertha BSC 2.6 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München vs Hertha BSC?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.83%.