Champions League
· Semi-finals
May 06, 2026 21:00
H. Kane
(ast. A. Davies)
90'+4
3'
(ast. K. Kvaratskhelia)
O. Dembele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 50% win probability (draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain 30%). The final result was Bayern München 1–1 Paris Saint Germain. In 2 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
1.40
Actual xG
0.95
6
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
1
Corners
8
8
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. K. Kvaratskhelia ·
O. Dembele⚽
8'
N. Mendes
J. Tah
33'
45'+3
K. Kvaratskhelia
65'
B. Barcola
/
O. Dembele
J. Stanisic
/ A. Davies
67'
J. Tah
/ Kim Min-Jae
68'
76'
L. Hernandez
/
D. Doue
76'
L. Beraldo
/
F. Ruiz
L. Diaz
78'
J. Musiala
/ N. Jackson
79'
D. Upamecano
/ L. Karl
85'
85'
S. Mayulu
/
N. Mendes
86'
Marquinhos
⚽H. Kane
· ast. A. Davies
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
50.27%
Bayern
19.54%
X ←
30.18%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
1.40
-0.89
1.93
0.95
-0.98
Bayern München dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.95).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Neuer
G
M. Neuer
G
44
J. Stanišić
67'
D
J. Stanišić
67'
D
4
J. Tah
68'
D
J. Tah
68'
D
2
D. Upamecano
85'
D
D. Upamecano
85'
D
27
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
45
A. Pavlović
M
A. Pavlović
M
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
14
L. Díaz
M
L. Díaz
M
10
J. Musiala
79'
M
J. Musiala
79'
M
17
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
9
H. Kane
1 ⚽
F
H. Kane
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Davies
1 👟
26'
D
A. Davies
1 👟
26'
D
21
H. Ito
D
H. Ito
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
25'
D
Kim Min-Jae
25'
D
8
Leon Goretzka
M
Leon Goretzka
M
42
L. Karl
8'
M
L. Karl
8'
M
11
N. Jackson
14'
F
N. Jackson
14'
F
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
D
Raphaël Guerreiro
D
20
T. Bischof
M
T. Bischof
M
39
M. Safonov
G
M. Safonov
G
25
Nuno Mendes
85'
D
Nuno Mendes
85'
D
51
W. Pacho
D
W. Pacho
D
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
87
João Neves
M
João Neves
M
17
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
76'
M
Fabián Ruiz
76'
M
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 👟
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 👟
F
10
O. Dembélé
1 ⚽
65'
F
O. Dembélé
1 ⚽
65'
F
14
D. Doué
76'
F
D. Doué
76'
F
Bench
29
B. Barcola
28'
F
B. Barcola
28'
F
4
Beraldo
17'
D
Beraldo
17'
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
49
I. Mbaye
F
I. Mbaye
F
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
I. Zabarnyi
D
19
Lee Kang-In
M
Lee Kang-In
M
21
L. Hernández
17'
D
L. Hernández
17'
D
27
Pedro Fernández
M
Pedro Fernández
M
24
Senny Mayulu
8'
M
Senny Mayulu
8'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Neuer
G · Bayern
8.90
· 36 pass
L. Díaz
M · Bayern
8.00
2 shots
· 35 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 30 pass
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Nuno Mendes
D · Paris
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.30
4 shots
· 21 pass
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | G | 93 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tah | D | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 93 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 93 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Davies | D | 26 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Min-Jae | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Karl | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 93 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 30 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 65 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Beraldo | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Senny Mayulu | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Bayern München 1–1 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bayern München win, 19% to a draw, and 30% to an Paris Saint Germain win.