Bayern München - RB Leipzig
Friendlies Clubs
August 15, 2026 15:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.33%
Win
Bayern München
32.26%
Draw
32.41%
Win
RB Leipzig
1.4
1.13
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.18%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for RB Leipzig. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bayern München and 1.1 for RB Leipzig (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.18% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Leipzig.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.3
1.0
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Bayern München
RB Leipzig →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bayern München
Attack
41
Defence
61
Form
51
RB Leipzig
Attack
34
Defence
71
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
The model gives Bayern München a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an RB Leipzig win.
How many goals are expected in Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Expected goals: Bayern München 1.4, RB Leipzig 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.18%.