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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 October 17, 2026 18:30 Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München
#1 · 17 pts
6 – 1
Final score
RB Leipzig
#5 · 12 pts
Luis Díaz (ast. Joshua Kimmich) 12'
Aleksandar Pavlović (ast. Luis Díaz) 26'
Michael Olise (ast. Harry Kane) 34'
Luis Díaz (ast. Harry Kane) 47'
Harry Kane (ast. Nathaniel Brown) 52'
Luis Díaz (ast. Michael Olise) 69'
90'+1 (ast. Brajan Gruda) Andrija Maksimović
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 54% win probability (draw 23%, RB Leipzig 22%). The final result was Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig. In 4 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Leipzig.

Match statistics
29
Total shots
12
17
Shots on target
4
3.84
Actual xG
0.90
3
Saves
11
62%
Possession
38%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Luis Díaz · ast. Joshua Kimmich
12'
⚽Aleksandar Pavlović · ast. Luis Díaz
26'
⚽Michael Olise · ast. Harry Kane
34'
45'
Nicolas Seiwald / Ezechiel Banzuzi ↕
45'
Tidiam Gomis / Christopher Nkunku ↕
⚽Luis Díaz · ast. Harry Kane
47'
Konrad Laimer
51'
⚽Harry Kane · ast. Nathaniel Brown
52'
↕ Aleksandar Pavlović / Tom Bischof
59'
↕ Konrad Laimer / Josip Stanišić
59'
↕ Harry Kane / Lennart Karl
59'
↕ Ismael Saibari / Serge Gnabry
59'
59'
Benjamin Henrichs / Lukas Klostermann ↕
60'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz / Antonio Nusa ↕
⚽Luis Díaz · ast. Michael Olise
69'
71'
Andrija Maksimović / Rocco Reitz ↕
↕ Kim Min-Jae / Sacha Boey
77'
90'+1
ast. Brajan Gruda · Andrija Maksimović⚽
Pre-match prediction
54.19%
Bayern ←
23.27%
X
22.54%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 54.19% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
3.88
3.84
-0.04
RB
1.44
0.90
-0.54
Bayern München dominated by xG (3.84 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig J. Urbig G 6.93
11 N. Brown N. Brown 1 👟 D 7.20
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae 77' D 6.80
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D 6.73
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer 59' D 6.49
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 1 ⚽ 59' M 8.20
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 1 👟 M 7.70
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 3 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.38
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 59' M 6.44
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.91
9 H. Kane H. Kane 1 ⚽ 2 👟 59' F 9.85
Bench
19 A. Davies A. Davies D 0.00
21 H. Ito H. Ito D 0.00
44 J. Stanišić J. Stanišić 31' D 6.97
4 J. Tah J. Tah D 0.00
42 L. Karl L. Karl 31' M 7.20
23 S. Boey S. Boey 13' D 6.30
7 S. Gnabry S. Gnabry 31' F 6.47
26 S. Ulreich S. Ulreich G 0.00
8 T. Bischof T. Bischof 31' M 7.04
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-5-1
26 M. Vandevoordt M. Vandevoordt G 7.55
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 6.19
23 C. Lukeba C. Lukeba D 5.63
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 5.96
16 L. Klostermann L. Klostermann 59' D 5.49
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 60' M 6.01
6 E. Banzuzi E. Banzuzi 45' M 6.12
21 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 6.46
20 R. Reitz R. Reitz 71' M 5.82
10 B. Gruda B. Gruda 1 👟 M 7.18
28 C. Nkunku C. Nkunku 45' F 6.23
Bench
30 A. Maksimović A. Maksimović 1 ⚽ 19' M 6.90
39 B. Henrichs B. Henrichs 31' D 5.94
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe D 0.00
3 M. Estève M. Estève D 0.00
13 N. Seiwald N. Seiwald 45' M 5.88
1 Ø. Nyland Ø. Nyland G 0.00
17 R. Baku R. Baku D 0.00
40 Rômulo Rômulo 30' F 6.43
27 T. Gomis T. Gomis 45' F 6.32
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
H. Kane
F · Bayern
9.85
1 ⚽ 2 👟
5 shots · 21 pass
L. Díaz
L. Díaz
M · Bayern
9.38
3 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 48 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.91
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 57 pass
A. Pavlović
A. Pavlović
M · Bayern
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 59 pass
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 96 pass
M. Vandevoordt
M. Vandevoordt
G · RB
7.55
· 40 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Urbig G 90 6.93 — — 0 36 26% 0 — —
N. Brown D 90 7.20 — 1 1 30 28% 2 — —
Kim Min-Jae D 77 6.80 — — 0 68 66% 1 — —
D. Upamecano D 90 6.73 — — 2 75 71% 2 — —
K. Laimer D 59 6.49 — — 1 43 38% 1 1 —
A. Pavlović M 59 8.20 1 — 1 59 54% 0 — —
J. Kimmich M 90 7.70 — 1 2 96 85% 2 — —
L. Díaz M 90 9.38 3 1 6 48 40% 0 — —
I. Saibari M 59 6.44 — — 2 20 19% 0 — —
M. Olise M 90 8.91 1 1 5 57 50% 1 — —
H. Kane F 59 9.85 1 2 5 21 19% 0 — —
J. Stanišić D 31 6.97 — — 0 29 27% 1 — —
L. Karl M 31 7.20 — — 0 26 24% 0 — —
S. Boey D 13 6.30 — — 1 13 13% 0 — —
S. Gnabry F 31 6.47 — — 1 21 18% 1 — —
T. Bischof M 31 7.04 — — 2 24 23% 2 — —
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Vandevoordt G 90 7.55 — — 0 40 26% 1 — —
D. Raum D 90 6.19 — — 1 50 40% 3 — —
C. Lukeba D 90 5.63 — — 0 74 63% 3 — —
W. Orbán D 90 5.96 — — 1 48 43% 1 — —
L. Klostermann D 59 5.49 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
A. Nusa M 60 6.01 — — 1 12 6% 0 — —
E. Banzuzi M 45 6.12 — — 0 19 13% 2 — —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 6.46 — — 0 35 33% 4 — —
R. Reitz M 71 5.82 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
B. Gruda M 90 7.18 — 1 3 25 22% 2 — —
C. Nkunku F 45 6.23 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
A. Maksimović M 19 6.90 1 — 1 17 13% 0 — —
B. Henrichs D 31 5.94 — — 0 22 20% 1 — —
N. Seiwald M 45 5.88 — — 1 18 11% 0 — —
Rômulo F 30 6.43 — — 1 7 7% 2 — —
T. Gomis F 45 6.32 — — 2 15 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
The final score was Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Bayern München win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an RB Leipzig win.