Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 15:30

Bayern München

#1 · 17 pts

4 – 0

Final score

Union Berlin

#17 · 6 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Union Berlin 3%). The final result was Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin. In 3 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Union Berlin.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

1

5.53

Actual xG

0.21

74%

Possession

26%

12

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

88.39%

Bayern ←

7.86%

X

3.75%

Union

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 88.39% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bayern

3.84

5.53

+1.69

Union

0.85

0.21

-0.64

Bayern München dominated by xG (5.53 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3