Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 15:30

Bayern München

#6 · 4 pts

4 – 0

Final score

Union Berlin

#16 · 1 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Union Berlin 3%). The final result was Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin. In 2 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Union Berlin.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

1

5.53

Actual xG

0.21

74%

Possession

26%

12

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

88.39%

Bayern ←

7.86%

X

3.75%

Union

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 88.39% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bayern

3.84

5.53

+1.69

Union

0.85

0.21

-0.64

Bayern München dominated by xG (5.53 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	RB Leipzig	3	6
5	SV Elversberg	2	6
6	Bayern München	2	4
7	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
10	Werder Bremen	3	4
11	FC Schalke 04	3	4
12	1. FC Köln	3	4
13	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0
18	Hamburger SV	3	0