← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 16:30
Bayern München
#1 · 86 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Union Berlin
#12 · 36 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Union Berlin 3%). The final result was Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin. In 2 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Union Berlin.

Match statistics
9
Shots on target
1
5.53
Actual xG
0.21
74%
Possession
26%
12
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
88.39%
Bayern ←
7.86%
X
3.75%
Union
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 88.39% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
3.84
5.53
+1.69
Union
0.85
0.21
-0.64
Bayern München dominated by xG (5.53 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
The final score was Bayern München 4–0 Union Berlin.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
The model assigned 88% probability to a Bayern München win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Union Berlin win.