DFB Pokal
· Final
May 23, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
H. Kane
55'
H. Kane
(ast. L. Diaz)
80'
H. Kane
90'+2
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 64% win probability (draw 17%, VfB Stuttgart 18%). The final result was Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart. In 3 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
0
Corners
3
12
Tackles
35
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
54'
C. Fuhrich
⚽H. Kane
55'
64'
F. Jeltsch
/
L. Jaquez
J. Musiala
/ L. Karl
77'
78'
B. El Khannouss
/
C. Fuhrich
⚽H. Kane
· ast. L. Diaz
80'
82'
J. Chabot
84'
T. Tomas
/
E. Demirovic
84'
N. Nartey
/
C. Andres
⚽H. Kane
(pen.)
90'+2
J. Stanisic
/ H. Ito
90'+5
M. Olise
/ R. Guerreiro
90'+5
K. Laimer
/ T. Bischof
90'+5
A. Pavlovic
/ L. Goretzka
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.21%
Bayern ←
17.07%
X
18.72%
VfB
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
64.21%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.87
—
—
1.69
—
—
Lineups
40
J. Urbig
G
J. Urbig
G
44
J. Stanišić
D
J. Stanišić
D
4
J. Tah
D
J. Tah
D
2
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
27
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
45
A. Pavlović
M
A. Pavlović
M
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
14
L. Díaz
1 👟
M
L. Díaz
1 👟
M
10
J. Musiala
76'
M
J. Musiala
76'
M
17
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
9
H. Kane
3 ⚽
F
H. Kane
3 ⚽
F
Bench
39
Bara Ndiaye
F
Bara Ndiaye
F
21
H. Ito
2'
D
H. Ito
2'
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
8
Leon Goretzka
7'
M
Leon Goretzka
7'
M
42
L. Karl
21'
M
L. Karl
21'
M
11
N. Jackson
F
N. Jackson
F
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
2'
D
Raphaël Guerreiro
2'
D
26
S. Ulreich
G
S. Ulreich
G
20
T. Bischof
2'
M
T. Bischof
2'
M
33
A. Nübel
G
A. Nübel
G
3
R. Hendriks
D
R. Hendriks
D
24
J. Chabot
D
J. Chabot
D
14
Luca Jaquez
64'
D
Luca Jaquez
64'
D
7
M. Mittelstädt
M
M. Mittelstädt
M
30
José María Andrés Baixauli
84'
M
José María Andrés Baixauli
84'
M
6
A. Stiller
M
A. Stiller
M
18
J. Leweling
M
J. Leweling
M
10
C. Führich
78'
F
C. Führich
78'
F
26
D. Undav
F
D. Undav
F
9
E. Demirović
84'
F
E. Demirović
84'
F
Bench
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
27
B. Bouanani
F
B. Bouanani
F
11
B. El Khannouss
19'
M
B. El Khannouss
19'
M
1
F. Bredlow
G
F. Bredlow
G
29
Finn Jeltsch
33'
D
Finn Jeltsch
33'
D
4
J. Vagnoman
D
J. Vagnoman
D
22
L. Assignon
D
L. Assignon
D
28
Nikolas Nartey
13'
M
Nikolas Nartey
13'
M
8
Tiago Tomás
13'
F
Tiago Tomás
13'
F
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
F · Bayern
9.30
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
M. Olise
M · Bayern
7.70
· 56 pass
M. Mittelstädt
M · VfB
7.50
2 shots
· 26 pass
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.50
· 68 pass
D. Upamecano
D · Bayern
7.20
· 83 pass
J. Tah
D · Bayern
7.00
· 54 pass
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Urbig | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Tah | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | — | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 97 | 9.30 | 3 | — | 4 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| H. Ito | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Karl | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Bischof | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nübel | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luca Jaquez | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 7 | — | — |
| M. Mittelstädt | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | 8 | — | — |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Führich | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Undav | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Bayern München win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an VfB Stuttgart win.