DFB Pokal
· Final
May 23, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
H. Kane
55'
H. Kane
(ast. L. Diaz)
80'
H. Kane
90'+2
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 64% win probability (draw 17%, VfB Stuttgart 18%). The final result was Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart. In 2 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
0
Corners
3
12
Tackles
35
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
54'
C. Fuhrich
⚽H. Kane
55'
64'
F. Jeltsch
/
L. Jaquez
J. Musiala
/ L. Karl
77'
78'
B. El Khannouss
/
C. Fuhrich
⚽H. Kane
· ast. L. Diaz
80'
82'
J. Chabot
84'
T. Tomas
/
E. Demirovic
84'
N. Nartey
/
C. Andres
⚽H. Kane
(pen.)
90'+2
J. Stanisic
/ H. Ito
90'+5
M. Olise
/ R. Guerreiro
90'+5
K. Laimer
/ T. Bischof
90'+5
A. Pavlovic
/ L. Goretzka
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.21%
Bayern ←
17.07%
X
18.72%
VfB
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
64.21%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.87
—
—
1.69
—
—
Lineups
40
Jonas Urbig
G
Jonas Urbig
G
44
Josip Stanišić
D
Josip Stanišić
D
4
Jonathan Tah
D
Jonathan Tah
D
2
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
27
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
45
A. Pavlović
M
A. Pavlović
M
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
14
L. Díaz
1 👟
M
L. Díaz
1 👟
M
10
J. Musiala
76'
M
J. Musiala
76'
M
17
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
9
H. Kane
3 ⚽
F
H. Kane
3 ⚽
F
Bench
39
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
F
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
F
21
Hiroki Itō
2'
D
Hiroki Itō
2'
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
42
Lennart Karl
21'
M
Lennart Karl
21'
M
8
Leon Goretzka
7'
M
Leon Goretzka
7'
M
11
N. Jackson
F
N. Jackson
F
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
2'
D
Raphaël Guerreiro
2'
D
26
Sven Ulreich
G
Sven Ulreich
G
20
Tom Bischof
2'
M
Tom Bischof
2'
M
33
Alexander Nübel
G
3
R. Hendriks
D
R. Hendriks
D
24
J. Chabot
D
J. Chabot
D
14
Luca Jaquez
64'
D
Luca Jaquez
64'
D
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt
M
Maximilian Mittelstädt
M
30
Chema Andrés
84'
M
Chema Andrés
84'
M
6
Angelo Stiller
M
Angelo Stiller
M
18
J. Leweling
M
J. Leweling
M
10
C. Führich
78'
F
C. Führich
78'
F
26
D. Undav
F
D. Undav
F
9
Ermedin Demirović
84'
F
Ermedin Demirović
84'
F
Bench
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
27
Badredine Bouanani
F
Badredine Bouanani
F
11
Bilal El Khannouss
19'
M
Bilal El Khannouss
19'
M
1
Fabian Bredlow
G
Fabian Bredlow
G
29
Finn Jeltsch
33'
D
Finn Jeltsch
33'
D
4
Josha Vagnoman
D
Josha Vagnoman
D
22
L. Assignon
D
L. Assignon
D
28
Nikolas Nartey
13'
M
Nikolas Nartey
13'
M
8
Tiago Tomás
13'
F
Tiago Tomás
13'
F
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
F · Bayern
9.30
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
M. Olise
M · Bayern
7.70
· 56 pass
Maximilian Mittelstädt
M · VfB
7.50
2 shots
· 26 pass
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.50
· 68 pass
D. Upamecano
D · Bayern
7.20
· 83 pass
Jonathan Tah
D · Bayern
7.00
· 54 pass
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Tah | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 45% | — | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 97 | 9.30 | 3 | — | 4 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Itō | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Lennart Karl | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tom Bischof | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luca Jaquez | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 7 | — | — |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | 8 | — | — |
| Chema Andrés | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Angelo Stiller | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Führich | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Undav | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Ermedin Demirović | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Bayern München win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an VfB Stuttgart win.