D. Upamecano
(ast. J. Kimmich)
21'
M. Olise
(ast. J. Kimmich)
55'
J. Vagnoman
57'
(og)
A. Pavlovic
(ast. I. Saibari)
82'
L. Diaz
(ast. I. Saibari)
90'+2
52'
J. Vagnoman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 42% win probability (draw 29%, VfB Stuttgart 28%). The final result was Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart. In 3 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
3.93
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
3
5
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Upamecano
· ast. J. Kimmich
21'
52'
J. Vagnoman⚽
⚽M. Olise
· ast. J. Kimmich
55'
⚽J. Vagnoman
(og)
57'
N. Brown
/ I. Saibari
61'
62'
J. Chabot
62'
J. Leweling
/
T. Tomas
63'
E. Demirovic
/
D. Pejcinovic
63'
68'
F. Jeltsch
A. Davies
/ J. Stanisic
74'
74'
L. Stergiou
/
D. Undav
74'
B. El Khannouss
/
J. Chabot
Kim Min-Jae
81'
⚽A. Pavlovic
· ast. I. Saibari
82'
H. Kane
/ L. Karl
84'
Kim Min-Jae
/ J. Tah
84'
A. Pavlovic
/ T. Bischof
84'
88'
C. Andres
/
A. Stiller
⚽L. Diaz
· ast. I. Saibari
90'+2
90'+3
G. Promel
Pre-match prediction
42.11%
Bayern ←
29.35%
X
28.54%
VfB
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
42.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.15
3.93
+0.78
1.99
0.86
-1.13
Bayern München dominated by xG (3.93 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Neuer
G
M. Neuer
G
19
A. Davies
74'
D
A. Davies
74'
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
84'
D
Kim Min-Jae
84'
D
2
D. Upamecano
1 ⚽
D
D. Upamecano
1 ⚽
D
27
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
45
A. Pavlović
1 ⚽
84'
M
A. Pavlović
1 ⚽
84'
M
6
J. Kimmich
2 👟
M
J. Kimmich
2 👟
M
14
L. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
L. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
11
N. Brown
61'
M
N. Brown
61'
M
17
M. Olise
1 ⚽
M
M. Olise
1 ⚽
M
9
H. Kane
84'
F
H. Kane
84'
F
Bench
22
A. Ibrahimović
M
A. Ibrahimović
M
39
Bara Ndiaye
M
Bara Ndiaye
M
21
H. Ito
D
H. Ito
D
34
I. Saibari
2 👟
35'
M
I. Saibari
2 👟
35'
M
44
J. Stanišić
22'
D
J. Stanišić
22'
D
4
J. Tah
12'
D
J. Tah
12'
D
40
J. Urbig
G
J. Urbig
G
42
L. Karl
12'
M
L. Karl
12'
M
8
T. Bischof
12'
M
T. Bischof
12'
M
1
F. Bredlow
G
F. Bredlow
G
3
R. Hendriks
D
R. Hendriks
D
24
J. Chabot
74'
D
J. Chabot
74'
D
29
Finn Jeltsch
D
Finn Jeltsch
D
7
M. Mittelstädt
M
M. Mittelstädt
M
6
A. Stiller
88'
M
A. Stiller
88'
M
21
G. Prömel
M
G. Prömel
M
4
J. Vagnoman
2 ⚽
M
J. Vagnoman
2 ⚽
M
26
D. Undav
74'
F
D. Undav
74'
F
17
D. Pejčinović
63'
F
D. Pejčinović
63'
F
8
Tiago Tomás
62'
F
Tiago Tomás
62'
F
Bench
2
A. Al Dakhil
D
A. Al Dakhil
D
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
27
B. Bouanani
F
B. Bouanani
F
11
B. El Khannouss
22'
M
B. El Khannouss
22'
M
9
E. Demirović
33'
F
E. Demirović
33'
F
18
J. Leweling
34'
F
J. Leweling
34'
F
30
José María Andrés Baixauli
8'
M
José María Andrés Baixauli
8'
M
20
L. Stergiou
22'
D
L. Stergiou
22'
D
33
M. Funk
G
M. Funk
G
Best on the pitch
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
9.00
2 👟
· 65 pass
I. Saibari
M · Bayern
8.50
2 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
A. Pavlović
M · Bayern
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 66 pass
D. Upamecano
D · Bayern
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 43 pass
F. Bredlow
G · VfB
7.90
· 42 pass
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Davies | D | 74 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Kim Min-Jae | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 84 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 66 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 96 | 9.00 | — | 2 | — | 65 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 96 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| N. Brown | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Saibari | M | 35 | 8.50 | — | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Tah | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Karl | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Bischof | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bredlow | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Mittelstädt | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Vagnoman | M | 96 | 7.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Stergiou | D | 22 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Bayern München win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an VfB Stuttgart win.