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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 August 28, 2026 20:30 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi
Bayern München
#5 · 4 pts
5 – 1
Final score
VfB Stuttgart
#13 · 3 pts
D. Upamecano (ast. J. Kimmich) 21'
M. Olise (ast. J. Kimmich) 55'
J. Vagnoman 57' (og)
A. Pavlovic (ast. I. Saibari) 82'
L. Diaz (ast. I. Saibari) 90'+2
52' J. Vagnoman
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 42% win probability (draw 29%, VfB Stuttgart 28%). The final result was Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart. In 3 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
3.93
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
3
5
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Upamecano · ast. J. Kimmich
21'
52'
J. Vagnoman⚽
⚽M. Olise · ast. J. Kimmich
55'
⚽J. Vagnoman (og)
57'
↕ N. Brown / I. Saibari
61'
62'
J. Chabot
62'
J. Leweling / T. Tomas ↕
63'
E. Demirovic / D. Pejcinovic ↕
63'
68'
F. Jeltsch
↕ A. Davies / J. Stanisic
74'
74'
L. Stergiou / D. Undav ↕
74'
B. El Khannouss / J. Chabot ↕
Kim Min-Jae
81'
⚽A. Pavlovic · ast. I. Saibari
82'
↕ H. Kane / L. Karl
84'
↕ Kim Min-Jae / J. Tah
84'
↕ A. Pavlovic / T. Bischof
84'
88'
C. Andres / A. Stiller ↕
⚽L. Diaz · ast. I. Saibari
90'+2
90'+3
G. Promel
Pre-match prediction
42.11%
Bayern ←
29.35%
X
28.54%
VfB
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 42.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
3.15
3.93
+0.78
VfB
1.99
0.86
-1.13
Bayern München dominated by xG (3.93 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer M. Neuer G 7.50
19 A. Davies A. Davies 74' D 7.50
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae 84' D 7.20
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano 1 ⚽ D 8.00
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer D 6.50
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.30
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 2 👟 M 9.00
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 1 ⚽ M 7.70
11 N. Brown N. Brown 61' M 6.30
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 ⚽ M 8.00
9 H. Kane H. Kane 84' F 7.00
Bench
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović M
39 Bara Ndiaye Bara Ndiaye M
21 H. Ito H. Ito D
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 2 👟 35' M 8.50
44 J. Stanišić J. Stanišić 22' D 6.60
4 J. Tah J. Tah 12' D 6.90
40 J. Urbig J. Urbig G
42 L. Karl L. Karl 12' M 6.50
8 T. Bischof T. Bischof 12' M 6.90
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1
1 F. Bredlow F. Bredlow G 7.90
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 6.20
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot 74' D 6.20
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D 6.50
7 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt M 7.30
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller 88' M 6.20
21 G. Prömel G. Prömel M 6.00
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman 2 ⚽ M 7.20
26 D. Undav D. Undav 74' F 6.00
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović 63' F 6.20
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 62' F 6.30
Bench
2 A. Al Dakhil A. Al Dakhil D
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M
27 B. Bouanani B. Bouanani F
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 22' M 7.00
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 33' F 6.30
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 34' F 6.60
30 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli 8' M 6.30
20 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou 22' D 6.00
33 M. Funk M. Funk G
Best on the pitch
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
9.00
2 👟
· 65 pass
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · Bayern
8.50
2 👟
1 shots · 12 pass
A. Pavlović
A. Pavlović
M · Bayern
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 66 pass
D. Upamecano
D. Upamecano
D · Bayern
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.00
1 ⚽
5 shots · 43 pass
F. Bredlow
F. Bredlow
G · VfB
7.90
· 42 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Neuer G 96 7.50 — — — 48 30% — — —
A. Davies D 74 7.50 — — — 44 35% — — —
Kim Min-Jae D 84 7.20 — — — 39 34% — 1 —
D. Upamecano D 96 8.00 1 — 1 62 54% 1 — —
K. Laimer D 96 6.50 — — 1 44 35% 2 — —
A. Pavlović M 84 8.30 1 — 2 66 54% — — —
J. Kimmich M 96 9.00 — 2 — 65 57% 2 — —
L. Díaz M 96 7.70 1 — 4 46 38% — — —
N. Brown M 61 6.30 — — 1 15 13% — — —
M. Olise M 96 8.00 1 — 5 43 37% — — —
H. Kane F 84 7.00 — — — 25 17% — — —
I. Saibari M 35 8.50 — 2 1 12 9% — — —
J. Stanišić D 22 6.60 — — — 18 15% — — —
J. Tah D 12 6.90 — — — 7 7% — — —
L. Karl M 12 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
T. Bischof M 12 6.90 — — — 11 11% — — —
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Bredlow G 96 7.90 — — — 42 22% — — —
R. Hendriks D 96 6.20 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
J. Chabot D 74 6.20 — — 1 26 23% 3 1 —
Finn Jeltsch D 96 6.50 — — — 27 23% 4 1 —
M. Mittelstädt M 96 7.30 — — — 40 27% 3 — —
A. Stiller M 88 6.20 — — — 43 38% 2 — —
G. Prömel M 96 6.00 — — 1 28 22% — 1 —
J. Vagnoman M 96 7.20 2 — 1 19 17% 1 — —
D. Undav F 74 6.00 — — — 19 11% 1 — —
D. Pejčinović F 63 6.20 — — 1 21 13% — — —
Tiago Tomás F 62 6.30 — — 2 22 14% 1 — —
B. El Khannouss M 22 7.00 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
E. Demirović F 33 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
J. Leweling F 34 6.60 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 8 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
L. Stergiou D 22 6.00 — — — 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Bayern München win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an VfB Stuttgart win.