Beijing Guoan - Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League
September 15, 2026 14:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.27%
Win
Beijing Guoan
23.92%
Draw
17.8%
Win
Pohang Steelers
1.96
0.64
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Beijing Guoan
58.27%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.82%)
1X2 Result
1
58%
X
24%
2
18%
Double Chance
1X
82%
X2
42%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
71%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beijing Guoan a 58% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Pohang Steelers. Expected goals are 2.0 for Beijing Guoan and 0.6 for Pohang Steelers (total 2.6), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.82% probability.
Season Stats
8W
6D
1L
4W
3D
8L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
1.5
6.1
Shots OT
2.4
5.1
Corners
3.8
58%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
6W
3D
1L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
2.3
gls/g
1.4
1.1
Conceded
1.6
60%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
90%
70%
O 2.5
80%
40%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Beijing Guoan
Pohang Steelers →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 14.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Beijing Guoan
Attack
53
Defence
56
Form
61
Pohang Steelers
Attack
18
Defence
70
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Pohang Steelers
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Buriram United
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Port FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Ratchaburi
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Beijing Guoan
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #7 |
| → Beijing Guoan | #1 | #8 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Pohang Steelers | #12 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
The model gives Beijing Guoan a 58% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 17% for an Pohang Steelers win.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
Expected goals: Beijing Guoan 2.0, Pohang Steelers 0.6 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.82%.