AFC Champions League
· League Phase - 1
September 15, 2026 14:15
✓Model correct — prediction Beijing Guoan
Chadrac Akolo
2'
Zhang Xizhe
12'
Jeremy Dudziak
(ast. Zhang Xizhe)
46'
(pen.)
6'
Jakob Tranziska
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beijing Guoan a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Pohang Steelers 19%). The final result was Beijing Guoan 3–1 Pohang Steelers.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
3
14
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Chadrac Akolo
2'
6'
(pen.)
Jakob Tranziska⚽
⚽Zhang Xizhe
12'
Chadrac Akolo
/ Yang Liyu
34'
40'
Kim Ho-Jin
Wang Gang
43'
45'
Juninho Rocha
/
An Jae-Joon
45'
Wanderson Oliveira
/
Kim Ye-Sung
45'
Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira
/
Kim Ho-Jin
⚽Jeremy Dudziak
· ast. Zhang Xizhe
46'
52'
Jo Sung-Wook
58'
Kim Dong-Jin
/
Jung Han-Min
67'
Juninho Rocha
Wang Gang
/ Li Lei
68'
Zhang Xizhe
/ Abduhamit Abdugheni
68'
73'
Shin Kwang-Hoon
/
Lee Chang-Woo
Jeremy Dudziak
/ Wang Yu
82'
Béni Nkololo
/ Fabio Abreu
82'
Wang Yu
88'
Pre-match prediction
57.4%
Beijing ←
23.25%
X
19.35%
Pohang
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Beijing Guoan)
57.4%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.09
—
—
0.70
—
—
Lineups
34
Hou Sen
G
Hou Sen
G
47
Jiefu Deng
D
Jiefu Deng
D
5
Guilherme Ramos
D
Guilherme Ramos
D
27
Wang Gang
68'
D
Wang Gang
68'
D
21
Yue Tze Nam
D
Yue Tze Nam
D
10
Zhang Xizhe
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
Zhang Xizhe
1 ⚽
1 👟
68'
M
7
Serginho
M
Serginho
M
23
Dawhan
M
Dawhan
M
28
J. Dudziak
1 ⚽
M
J. Dudziak
1 ⚽
M
77
C. Akolo
1 ⚽
34'
F
C. Akolo
1 ⚽
34'
F
20
B. Nkololo
82'
F
B. Nkololo
82'
F
Bench
24
Abduhamit Abdugheni
22'
D
Abduhamit Abdugheni
22'
D
6
Chi Zhongguo
M
Chi Zhongguo
M
29
Fábio Abreu
8'
F
Fábio Abreu
8'
F
30
Fan Shuangjie
D
Fan Shuangjie
D
4
Li Lei
22'
D
Li Lei
22'
D
31
Liu Shaoziyang
G
Liu Shaoziyang
G
25
U. Spajić
D
U. Spajić
D
18
Wang Yu
8'
M
Wang Yu
8'
M
43
Xia Xiaoyu
M
Xia Xiaoyu
M
41
Xi Cheng
M
Xi Cheng
M
17
Yang Liyu
56'
F
Yang Liyu
56'
F
50
Zhang Haoran
M
Zhang Haoran
M
1
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
Yun Pyeong-Gook
G
3
Ye-Sung Kim
45'
D
Ye-Sung Kim
45'
D
36
H. Kim
45'
D
H. Kim
45'
D
33
Jo Sung-Wook
D
Jo Sung-Wook
D
5
Jin Si-Woo
D
14
Lee Chang-Woo
73'
D
Lee Chang-Woo
73'
D
9
An Jae-Jun
45'
M
An Jae-Jun
45'
M
8
Kim Seung-Ho
M
Kim Seung-Ho
M
31
K. Nishiya
M
K. Nishiya
M
37
Jung Han-Min
58'
M
Jung Han-Min
58'
M
10
J. Tranziska
1 ⚽
F
J. Tranziska
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Cho Sang-Hyeok
F
Cho Sang-Hyeok
F
29
Hong Seong-Min
G
Hong Seong-Min
G
70
Hwang Seo-Woong
M
Hwang Seo-Woong
M
4
Jeon Min-Gwang
D
Jeon Min-Gwang
D
25
Jorge Luiz
45'
F
Jorge Luiz
45'
F
11
Juninho Rocha
45'
F
Juninho Rocha
45'
F
16
Kim Dong-Jin
32'
M
Kim Dong-Jin
32'
M
20
Park Chan-Yong
D
Park Chan-Yong
D
17
Shin Kwang-Hoon
17'
D
Shin Kwang-Hoon
17'
D
77
Wanderson
45'
D
Wanderson
45'
D
7
Won Ki-Jong
F
Won Ki-Jong
F
Best on the pitch
Zhang Xizhe
M · Beijing
8.77
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
C. Akolo
F · Beijing
8.07
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Guilherme Ramos
D · Beijing
7.28
· 75 pass
Hou Sen
G · Beijing
6.94
· 34 pass
Jorge Luiz
F · Pohang
6.92
2 shots
· 20 pass
Fábio Abreu
F · Beijing
6.83
· 3 pass
Beijing Guoan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hou Sen | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Jiefu Deng | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Guilherme Ramos | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Wang Gang | D | 68 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yue Tze Nam | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| Zhang Xizhe | M | 68 | 8.77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Dawhan | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dudziak | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Akolo | F | 34 | 8.07 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Nkololo | F | 82 | 6.72 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Abduhamit Abdugheni | D | 22 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Fábio Abreu | F | 8 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Li Lei | D | 22 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Wang Yu | M | 8 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Yang Liyu | F | 56 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Pohang Steelers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yun Pyeong-Gook | G | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Ye-Sung Kim | D | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kim | D | 45 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jo Sung-Wook | D | 90 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jin Si-Woo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Chang-Woo | D | 73 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| An Jae-Jun | M | 45 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Kim Seung-Ho | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 63% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Nishiya | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Jung Han-Min | M | 58 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Tranziska | F | 90 | 6.52 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Jorge Luiz | F | 45 | 6.92 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Juninho Rocha | F | 45 | 5.67 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Kim Dong-Jin | M | 32 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Shin Kwang-Hoon | D | 17 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 45 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
The final score was Beijing Guoan 3–1 Pohang Steelers.
What did the model predict before Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Beijing Guoan win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Pohang Steelers win.