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Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Jonoon

Super League May 15, 2026 14:00
Beijing Guoan
#11 · 8 pts
vs
Qingdao Jonoon
#7 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.57%
Win
Beijing Guoan
24.02%
Draw
28.42%
Win
Qingdao Jonoon
1.67
Expected xG
1.36

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beijing Guoan a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Qingdao Jonoon. Expected goals are 1.7 for Beijing Guoan and 1.4 for Qingdao Jonoon (total 3.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.0% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Beijing Guoan Qingdao Jonoon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 6.5% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.1% 11.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
D SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2
W Dalian Zhixing 3–0
D Yunnan Yukun 3–3
L Tianjin Teda 2–4
W Sichuan Jiuniu 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
W Dalian Zhixing 3–1
W Wuhan Three Towns 1–3
W SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1
W Shandong Luneng 4–1
L Shanghai Shenhua 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
Attack
44
Defence
59
Form
45
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 11 31
2 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 11 20
3 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 11 18
4 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 11 16
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 11 14
6 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 11 11
7 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 11 10
8 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 11 10
9 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 11 10
10 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 11 10
11 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 11 8
12 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 11 7
13 Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 11 7
14 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 11 6
15 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 11 4
16 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 11 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?
The model gives Beijing Guoan a 47% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 28% for an Qingdao Jonoon win.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Expected goals: Beijing Guoan 1.7, Qingdao Jonoon 1.4 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.