Super League · Regular Season - 17 July 04, 2026 13:35

Beijing Guoan

#8 · 23 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Shandong Luneng

#6 · 24 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beijing Guoan

Serginho (ast. Cao Yongjing) 74'

Lin Liangming (ast. Cao Yongjing) 81'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beijing Guoan a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Shandong Luneng 21%). The final result was Beijing Guoan 2–0 Shandong Luneng. In 1 previous meetings, Beijing Guoan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shandong Luneng.

Match statistics

13

Shots on target

2

4.41

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Match Events

23'

Zheng Zheng

B. Nkololo

36'

36'

Peng Xiao / Chen Pu ↕

↕ He Yupeng / Yue Tze-Nam

46'

↕ B. Nkololo / Cao Yongjing

58'

↕ Zhang Yuning / Yang Liyu

61'

63'

Huang Zhengyu

⚽Serginho · ast. Cao Yongjing

74'

75'

R. Merkies / Xie Wenneng ↕

⚽Lin Liangming · ast. Cao Yongjing

81'

↕ Bai Yang / Deng Jiefu

85'

↕ F. Abreu / Chi Zhongguo

86'

89'

J. Lu / V. Qazaishvili ↕

89'

Memet Imran / Huang Zhengyu ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.62%

Beijing ←

16.42%

X

21.96%

Shandong

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beijing Guoan) 61.62% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beijing

3.01

4.41

+1.4

Shandong

1.72

0.11

-1.62

Beijing Guoan dominated by xG (4.41 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	20	44
2	Chongqing Tongliang Long	20	29
3	Yunnan Yukun	20	28
4	Dalian Zhixing	19	28
5	Qingdao Youth Island	20	28
6	Shandong Luneng	20	24
7	Hangzhou Greentown	20	24
8	Beijing Guoan	19	23
9	Henan Jianye	19	21
10	Shenyang Urban	19	21
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	20	20
12	Shanghai Shenhua	19	19
13	SHANGHAI SIPG	19	19
14	Tianjin Teda	19	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	14
16	Qingdao Jonoon	20	14