Super League · Regular Season - 17 July 04, 2026 13:35

Beijing Guoan

#3 · 38 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Shandong Luneng

#6 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beijing Guoan

Serginho (ast. Cao Yongjing) 74'

Lin Liangming (ast. Cao Yongjing) 81'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beijing Guoan a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Shandong Luneng 21%). The final result was Beijing Guoan 2–0 Shandong Luneng. In 1 previous meetings, Beijing Guoan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shandong Luneng.

Match statistics

13

Shots on target

2

4.41

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Match Events

23'

Zheng Zheng

B. Nkololo

36'

36'

Peng Xiao / Chen Pu ↕

↕ He Yupeng / Yue Tze-Nam

46'

↕ B. Nkololo / Cao Yongjing

58'

↕ Zhang Yuning / Yang Liyu

61'

63'

Huang Zhengyu

⚽Serginho · ast. Cao Yongjing

74'

75'

R. Merkies / Xie Wenneng ↕

⚽Lin Liangming · ast. Cao Yongjing

81'

↕ Bai Yang / Deng Jiefu

85'

↕ F. Abreu / Chi Zhongguo

86'

89'

J. Lu / V. Qazaishvili ↕

89'

Memet Imran / Huang Zhengyu ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.62%

Beijing ←

16.42%

X

21.96%

Shandong

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beijing Guoan) 61.62% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beijing

3.01

4.41

+1.4

Shandong

1.72

0.11

-1.62

Beijing Guoan dominated by xG (4.41 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	26	52
2	Dalian Zhixing	26	40
3	Beijing Guoan	26	38
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	38
5	Qingdao Youth Island	26	38
6	Shandong Luneng	26	37
7	SHANGHAI SIPG	26	33
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	31
9	Chongqing Tongliang Long	26	31
10	Hangzhou Greentown	25	28
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	26	28
12	Henan Jianye	26	27
13	Shenyang Urban	26	25
14	Tianjin Teda	26	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	25	21
16	Qingdao Jonoon	26	14