Super League · Regular Season - 17 July 04, 2026 13:35

Beijing Guoan

#3 · 47 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Shandong Luneng

#4 · 44 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Beijing Guoan

Serginho (ast. Cao Yongjing) 74'

Lin Liangming (ast. Cao Yongjing) 81'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Beijing Guoan a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Shandong Luneng 21%). The final result was Beijing Guoan 2–0 Shandong Luneng. In 1 previous meetings, Beijing Guoan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shandong Luneng.

Match statistics

13

Shots on target

2

4.41

Actual xG

0.11

76%

Possession

24%

12

Corners

0

Match Events

23'

Zheng Zheng

B. Nkololo

36'

36'

Peng Xiao / Chen Pu ↕

↕ He Yupeng / Yue Tze-Nam

46'

↕ B. Nkololo / Cao Yongjing

58'

↕ Zhang Yuning / Yang Liyu

61'

63'

Huang Zhengyu

⚽Serginho · ast. Cao Yongjing

74'

75'

R. Merkies / Xie Wenneng ↕

⚽Lin Liangming · ast. Cao Yongjing

81'

↕ Bai Yang / Deng Jiefu

85'

↕ F. Abreu / Chi Zhongguo

86'

89'

J. Lu / V. Qazaishvili ↕

89'

Memet Imran / Huang Zhengyu ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.62%

Beijing ←

16.42%

X

21.96%

Shandong

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Beijing Guoan) 61.62% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Beijing

3.01

4.41

+1.4

Shandong

1.72

0.11

-1.62

Beijing Guoan dominated by xG (4.41 vs 0.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	29	52
2	Dalian Zhixing	29	49
3	Beijing Guoan	29	47
4	Shandong Luneng	29	44
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	29	42
6	Yunnan Yukun	29	40
7	Qingdao Youth Island	29	39
8	Shanghai Shenhua	29	37
9	Chongqing Tongliang Long	29	36
10	Hangzhou Greentown	29	34
11	Sichuan Jiuniu	29	32
12	Tianjin Teda	29	31
13	Shenyang Urban	29	29
14	Henan Jianye	29	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	29	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	29	14