Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca
Conference League
July 30, 2026 19:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.69%
Win
Beitar Jerusalem
32.7%
Draw
28.61%
Win
AEK Larnaca
0.92
0.72
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.37%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
33%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
61%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
45%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beitar Jerusalem a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 28% for AEK Larnaca. Expected goals are 0.9 for Beitar Jerusalem and 0.7 for AEK Larnaca (total 1.6), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.37% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Beitar Jerusalem have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AEK Larnaca.
Season Stats
4W
0D
1L
3W
4D
2L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
0.9
1.4
Conceded
0.4
—
Shots OT
3.1
—
Corners
3.4
—
Poss.
48%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
33%
80%
O 2.5
22%
60%
BTTS
22%
20%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
3D
0L
· away
4.0
gls/g
0.5
1.5
Conceded
0.2
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
25%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
75%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Beitar Jerusalem
AEK Larnaca →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Beitar Jerusalem
Attack
23
Defence
83
Form
59
AEK Larnaca
Attack
31
Defence
62
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
23 Jul 2026
1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?
The model gives Beitar Jerusalem a 38% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 28% for an AEK Larnaca win.
How many goals are expected in Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?
Expected goals: Beitar Jerusalem 0.9, AEK Larnaca 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.37%.