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UEFA Nations League · League C - 4 October 06, 2026 20:45 Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Belarus
#2 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Finland
#3 · 7 pts
Artem Shumanskiy 1'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belarus a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Finland 26%). The final result was Belarus 1–0 Finland. In 1 previous meetings, Belarus have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Finland.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
1
26%
Possession
74%
1
Corners
5
13
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Artem Shumanskiy
1'
⚽Zakhar Volkov (missed pen.)
15'
Artem Shumanskiy
27'
German Barkovskiy
27'
Valery Bocherov
38'
↕ Valery Bocherov / Vitali Lisakovich
45'
↕ Artem Shumanskiy / Anton Kovalev
45'
58'
Joel Pohjanpalo / adrian svanback ↕
58'
Oiva Jukkola / Onni Valakari ↕
↕ German Barkovskiy / Trofim Melnichenko
62'
67'
Santeri Väänänen / Matti Peltola ↕
67'
Benjamin Källman / Juho Lähteenmäki ↕
74'
Daniel Håkans / Ryan Mahuta ↕
75'
Benjamin Källman
Kirill Pechenin
83'
↕ Aleksandr Selyava / Evgeni Yablonski
84'
90'+2
Samuli Miettinen
Pre-match prediction
38.92%
Belarus ←
34.88%
X
26.2%
Finland
we assigned to the actual result (Belarus) 38.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Belarus
1.16
—
—
Finland
0.80
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Albania Albania 4 9
2 Belarus Belarus 4 7
3 Finland Finland 4 7
4 San Marino San Marino 4 0
Lineups
Belarus Belarus 4-2-3-1
21
F. Lapoukhov G 6.81
2 K. Pechenin K. Pechenin D 6.27
13 K. Gomanov K. Gomanov D 6.75
20 Z. Volkov Z. Volkov D 6.99
5 V. Kalinin V. Kalinin D 6.37
8 A. Selyava A. Selyava 84' M 6.33
4 V. Bocherov V. Bocherov 45' M 6.13
7 A. Shumanskiy A. Shumanskiy 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.61
9
M. Ebong M 6.03
19 A. Lukashov A. Lukashov M 6.38
11 G. Barkovskiy G. Barkovskiy 62' F 6.18
Bench
22 A. Kontsevoy A. Kontsevoy M 0.00
16 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 45' M 6.66
12 A. Kudravets A. Kudravets G 0.00
6 A. Svirepa A. Svirepa M 0.00
15
D. Galyata M 0.00
18 E. Malashevich E. Malashevich M 0.00
14 E. Yablonskiy E. Yablonskiy 6' M 6.60
3 I. Tikhomirov I. Tikhomirov D 0.00
1 P. Pavlyuchenko P. Pavlyuchenko G 0.00
23
T. Melnichenko 28' F 6.53
10 V. Gromyko V. Gromyko M 0.00
17 V. Lisakovich V. Lisakovich 45' F 6.47
Finland Finland 4-3-3
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.85
17 R. Mahuta R. Mahuta 74' D 6.54
5 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D 6.07
15 M. Tenho M. Tenho D 7.37
13 J. Lähteenmäki J. Lähteenmäki 67' D 5.93
10 L. Walta L. Walta M 6.57
2 M. Peltola M. Peltola 67' M 6.83
11 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev M 6.94
8 O. Valakari O. Valakari 58' F 6.21
18 T. Keskinen T. Keskinen F 5.80
9 A. Svanbäck A. Svanbäck 58' F 5.99
Bench
3 A. Ståhl A. Ståhl D 0.00
16 A. Suhonen A. Suhonen M 0.00
19 B. Källman B. Källman 23' F 6.00
6 D. Arifi D. Arifi M 0.00
22 D. Håkans D. Håkans 16' M 6.24
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 32' F 6.35
23 L. Bergström L. Bergström G 0.00
21 L. Väisänen L. Väisänen D 0.00
14 Oiva Jukkola Oiva Jukkola 32' M 6.35
7 S. Väänänen S. Väänänen 23' M 6.39
4 T. Miettinen T. Miettinen D 0.00
12 V. Sinisalo V. Sinisalo G 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Shumanskiy
A. Shumanskiy
M · Belarus
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
M. Tenho
M. Tenho
D · Finland
7.37
1 shots · 115 pass
Z. Volkov
Z. Volkov
D · Belarus
6.99
1 shots · 28 pass
A. Marhiev
A. Marhiev
M · Finland
6.94
2 shots · 52 pass
L. Hrádecký
L. Hrádecký
G · Finland
6.85
· 35 pass
M. Peltola
M. Peltola
M · Finland
6.83
1 shots · 73 pass
Belarus Belarus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Lapoukhov G 90 6.81 — — 0 28 13% 0 — —
K. Pechenin D 90 6.27 — — 1 27 15% 3 1 —
K. Gomanov D 90 6.75 — — 0 24 18% 1 — —
Z. Volkov D 90 6.99 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
V. Kalinin D 90 6.37 — — 0 21 15% 1 — —
A. Selyava M 84 6.33 — — 0 15 10% 1 — —
V. Bocherov M 45 6.13 — — 0 16 12% 1 1 —
A. Shumanskiy M 45 7.61 1 — 1 10 6% 2 1 —
M. Ebong M 90 6.03 — — 2 14 8% 1 — —
A. Lukashov M 90 6.38 — — 0 16 8% 1 — —
G. Barkovskiy F 62 6.18 — — 0 13 7% 0 1 —
A. Kovalev M 45 6.66 — — 0 8 3% 0 — —
E. Yablonskiy M 6 6.60 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
T. Melnichenko F 28 6.53 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
V. Lisakovich F 45 6.47 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Finland Finland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 90 6.85 — — 0 35 31% 0 — —
R. Mahuta D 74 6.54 — — 0 48 40% 1 — —
S. Miettinen D 90 6.07 — — 0 127 111% 2 1 —
M. Tenho D 90 7.37 — — 1 115 105% 2 — —
J. Lähteenmäki D 67 5.93 — — 0 48 35% 1 — —
L. Walta M 90 6.57 — — 2 62 49% 1 — —
M. Peltola M 67 6.83 — — 1 73 69% 2 — —
A. Marhiev M 90 6.94 — — 2 52 48% 2 — —
O. Valakari F 58 6.21 — — 0 14 11% 0 — —
T. Keskinen F 90 5.80 — — 3 24 20% 0 — —
A. Svanbäck F 58 5.99 — — 1 10 7% 0 — —
B. Källman F 23 6.00 — — 0 5 4% 0 1 —
D. Håkans M 16 6.24 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 32 6.35 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Oiva Jukkola M 32 6.35 — — 2 17 13% 1 — —
S. Väänänen M 23 6.39 — — 1 17 14% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Belarus vs Finland?
The final score was Belarus 1–0 Finland.
What did the model predict before Belarus vs Finland?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Belarus win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Finland win.