M. Hany
66'
(og)
19'
(ast. M. Salah)
E. Ashour
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belgium a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Egypt 23%). The final result was Belgium 1–1 Egypt.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.16
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
7
16
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
M. Attia
T. Castagne
14'
19'
ast. M. Salah ·
E. Ashour⚽
34'
A. Fatouh
T. Castagne
/ N. Raskin
56'
A. Onana
/ M. De Cuyper
56'
C. De Ketelaere
/ R. Lukaku
66'
⚽M. Hany
(og)
66'
71'
R. Rabia
/
E. Ashour
M. De Cuyper
75'
76'
Zizo
/
M. Ziko
76'
H. Abdelkarim
/
M. Salah
J. Doku
/ M. Fernandez-Pardo
86'
K. De Bruyne
/ H. Vanaken
86'
89'
I. Adel
/
H. Fathy
89'
K. Hafez
/
A. Fatouh
Pre-match prediction
50.71%
Belgium
26.24%
X ←
23.04%
Egypt
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
1.16
-1.24
1.04
0.89
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Thibaut Courtois
G
Thibaut Courtois
G
21
Timothy Castagne
56'
D
Timothy Castagne
56'
D
4
Brandon Mechele
D
Brandon Mechele
D
25
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
15
Thomas Meunier
D
Thomas Meunier
D
8
Youri Tielemans
M
Youri Tielemans
M
24
Amadou Onana
56'
M
Amadou Onana
56'
M
11
J. Doku
86'
M
J. Doku
86'
M
7
Kevin De Bruyne
86'
M
Kevin De Bruyne
86'
M
10
Leandro Trossard
M
Leandro Trossard
M
17
Charles De Ketelaere
66'
F
Charles De Ketelaere
66'
F
Bench
22
Alexis Saelemaekers
F
Alexis Saelemaekers
F
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
6
Axel Witsel
M
Axel Witsel
M
19
Diego Moreira
F
Diego Moreira
F
14
Dodi Lukebakio
F
Dodi Lukebakio
F
20
Hans Vanaken
6'
M
Hans Vanaken
6'
M
18
Joaquin Seys
D
Joaquin Seys
D
16
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
26
Matías Fernández-Pardo
6'
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
6'
F
5
Maxim De Cuyper
36'
D
Maxim De Cuyper
36'
D
13
Mike Penders
G
Mike Penders
G
23
Nicolas Raskin
36'
M
Nicolas Raskin
36'
M
9
R. Lukaku
26'
F
R. Lukaku
26'
F
12
Senne Lammens
G
Senne Lammens
G
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
13
Ahmed Fatouh
89'
D
Ahmed Fatouh
89'
D
14
Hamdy Fathy
89'
D
Hamdy Fathy
89'
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
3
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
17
Mohanad Lasheen
M
Mohanad Lasheen
M
19
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
8
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
71'
M
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
71'
M
10
Mohamed Salah
1 👟
76'
M
Mohamed Salah
1 👟
76'
M
11
Mostafa Zico
76'
M
Mostafa Zico
76'
M
22
Omar Marmoush
F
Omar Marmoush
F
Bench
12
Haissem Hassan
F
Haissem Hassan
F
9
Hamza Abdelkarim
16'
F
Hamza Abdelkarim
16'
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
3'
F
Ibrahim Adel
3'
F
15
Karim Hafez
3'
D
Karim Hafez
3'
D
16
Mahdi Soliman
G
Mahdi Soliman
G
21
Mahmoud Saber
M
Mahmoud Saber
M
6
Mohamed Abdelmonem
D
Mohamed Abdelmonem
D
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
5
Rami Rabia
21'
D
Rami Rabia
21'
D
24
Tarek Alaa
D
Tarek Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
F
Trézéguet
F
25
Zizo
16'
F
Zizo
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Emam Ashour
M · Egypt
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Timothy Castagne
D · Belgium
7.90
· 25 pass
Youri Tielemans
M · Belgium
7.70
2 shots
· 39 pass
Brandon Mechele
D · Belgium
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
Nicolas Raskin
M · Belgium
7.30
· 19 pass
Mohanad Lasheen
M · Egypt
7.20
· 29 pass
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 56 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Brandon Mechele | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Meunier | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Youri Tielemans | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Trossard | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Hans Vanaken | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Raskin | M | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lukaku | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Fatouh | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Hamdy Fathy | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 92 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 31 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| Mohanad Lasheen | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 8 | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza Abdelkarim | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Karim Hafez | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Zizo | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Belgium vs Egypt?
The final score was Belgium 1–1 Egypt.
What did the model predict before Belgium vs Egypt?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Belgium win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Egypt win.