M. Hany
66'
(og)
19'
(ast. M. Salah)
E. Ashour
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belgium a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Egypt 23%). The final result was Belgium 1–1 Egypt.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.16
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
7
16
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
M. Attia
T. Castagne
14'
19'
ast. M. Salah ·
E. Ashour⚽
34'
A. Fatouh
T. Castagne
/ N. Raskin
56'
A. Onana
/ M. De Cuyper
56'
C. De Ketelaere
/ R. Lukaku
66'
⚽M. Hany
(og)
66'
71'
R. Rabia
/
E. Ashour
M. De Cuyper
75'
76'
Zizo
/
M. Ziko
76'
H. Abdelkarim
/
M. Salah
J. Doku
/ M. Fernandez-Pardo
86'
K. De Bruyne
/ H. Vanaken
86'
89'
I. Adel
/
H. Fathy
89'
K. Hafez
/
A. Fatouh
Pre-match prediction
50.71%
Belgium
26.24%
X ←
23.04%
Egypt
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
1.16
-1.24
1.04
0.89
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
21
T. Castagne
56'
D
T. Castagne
56'
D
4
B. Mechele
D
B. Mechele
D
25
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
15
T. Meunier
D
T. Meunier
D
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
24
Amadou Onana
56'
M
Amadou Onana
56'
M
11
J. Doku
86'
M
J. Doku
86'
M
7
K. De Bruyne
86'
M
K. De Bruyne
86'
M
10
L. Trossard
M
L. Trossard
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
66'
F
C. De Ketelaere
66'
F
Bench
22
A. Saelemaekers
F
A. Saelemaekers
F
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
6
A. Witsel
M
A. Witsel
M
19
Diego Moreira
F
Diego Moreira
F
14
D. Lukebakio
F
D. Lukebakio
F
20
H. Vanaken
6'
M
H. Vanaken
6'
M
18
J. Seys
D
J. Seys
D
16
K. De Winter
D
K. De Winter
D
5
M. De Cuyper
36'
D
M. De Cuyper
36'
D
26
M. Fernandez-Pardo
6'
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
6'
F
13
M. Penders
G
M. Penders
G
23
N. Raskin
36'
M
N. Raskin
36'
M
9
R. Lukaku
26'
F
R. Lukaku
26'
F
12
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
13
Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
89'
D
Ahmed Abou El Fotouh
89'
D
14
Hamdi Fathy
89'
D
Hamdi Fathy
89'
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
3
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
Mohamed Hany
1 ⚽
D
17
Mohanad Lasheen
M
Mohanad Lasheen
M
19
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
8
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
71'
M
Emam Ashour
1 ⚽
71'
M
10
Mohamed Salah
1 👟
76'
M
Mohamed Salah
1 👟
76'
M
11
Mostafa Zico
76'
M
Mostafa Zico
76'
M
22
Omar Marmoush
F
Omar Marmoush
F
Bench
16
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
9
H. Abdelkarim
16'
F
H. Abdelkarim
16'
F
12
H. Hassan
F
H. Hassan
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
3'
F
Ibrahim Adel
3'
F
15
Karim Hafez
3'
D
Karim Hafez
3'
D
21
Mahmoud Saber
M
Mahmoud Saber
M
6
Mohamed Abdelmonem
D
Mohamed Abdelmonem
D
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
5
Rami Rabia
21'
D
Rami Rabia
21'
D
24
T. Alaa
D
T. Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
F
Trézéguet
F
25
Zizo
16'
F
Zizo
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Emam Ashour
M · Egypt
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
T. Castagne
D · Belgium
7.90
· 25 pass
Y. Tielemans
M · Belgium
7.70
2 shots
· 39 pass
B. Mechele
D · Belgium
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
N. Raskin
M · Belgium
7.30
· 19 pass
Mohanad Lasheen
M · Egypt
7.20
· 29 pass
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 56 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Mechele | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Trossard | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Vanaken | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lukaku | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Abou El Fotouh | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Hamdi Fathy | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 92 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 31 | 24% | 6 | — | — |
| Mohanad Lasheen | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 8 | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelkarim | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Adel | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Karim Hafez | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Zizo | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Belgium vs Egypt?
The final score was Belgium 1–1 Egypt.
What did the model predict before Belgium vs Egypt?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Belgium win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Egypt win.