Belgium - France
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.78%
Win
Belgium
15.93%
Draw
32.29%
Win
France
3.69
2.96
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(4.98%)
1X2 Result
1
52%
X
16%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
48%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Belgium a 51% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 32% for France. Expected goals are 3.7 for Belgium and 3.0 for France (total 6.6), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 4.98% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Belgium have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for France.
Season Stats
2W
1D
5L
6W
1D
3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.3
5.0
Shots OT
6.4
7.6
Corners
6.8
58%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
90%
63%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
13%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
4W
0D
2L
· away
1.8
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
67%
50%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
67%
25%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
17%
25%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Belgium
France →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Belgium
Attack
57
Defence
71
Form
51
France
Attack
63
Defence
73
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Belgium
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
France
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 1
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Belgium | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → France | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Belgium vs France?
The model gives Belgium a 51% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 32% for an France win.
How many goals are expected in Belgium vs France?
Expected goals: Belgium 3.7, France 3.0 (total 6.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Belgium vs France?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 4.98%.