Belgium - Senegal
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
27.7°C
💨 16 km/h
· Kuwait
⚡ Pre-match analysis
69.39%
Win
Belgium
18.78%
Draw
11.83%
Win
Senegal
2.89
0.95
Expected xG
Most likely result
2–0
(9.0%)
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
74%
Model prediction
Belgium
69.39%
Probability
82.6%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Belgium a 69% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Senegal. Expected goals are 2.9 for Belgium and 0.9 for Senegal (total 3.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 9.0% probability.
Season Stats
1W
2D
0L
1W
0D
2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.7
0.7
Conceded
2.0
6.3
Shots OT
6.0
4.7
Corners
6.7
60%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 1.5
50%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
0W
2D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
2L
· away
0.5
gls/g
1.5
0.5
Conceded
3.0
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Belgium
Senegal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Belgium
Attack
64
Defence
81
Form
68
Senegal
Attack
46
Defence
66
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Belgium
Injured
Injured
Injured
Senegal
Injured
Group G
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Belgium
|
3 | 5 |
| 2 |
Egypt
|
3 | 5 |
| 3 |
Iran
|
3 | 3 |
| 4 |
New Zealand
|
3 | 1 |
What's at stake · Group G
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Belgium | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Senegal | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Belgium vs Senegal?
The model gives Belgium a 69% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 11% for an Senegal win.
How many goals are expected in Belgium vs Senegal?
Expected goals: Belgium 2.9, Senegal 0.9 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Belgium vs Senegal?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.0%.