Belgium - Türkiye
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.73%
Win
Belgium
14.15%
Draw
19.12%
Win
Türkiye
3.68
2.0
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Belgium
66.73%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(5.88%)
1X2 Result
1
67%
X
14%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
33%
12
86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Belgium a 66% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 19% for Türkiye. Expected goals are 3.7 for Belgium and 2.0 for Türkiye (total 5.7), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.88% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
5L
5W
2D
1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.9
1.5
Conceded
0.9
5.0
Shots OT
5.6
7.6
Corners
4.9
58%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
63%
63%
O 2.5
63%
50%
BTTS
50%
13%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
2L
· at home
2W
1D
1L
· away
1.8
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
75%
75%
O 1.5
75%
75%
O 2.5
75%
25%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
25%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Belgium
Türkiye →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 5 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Belgium
Attack
57
Defence
71
Form
51
Türkiye
Attack
51
Defence
73
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Belgium
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 1
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Belgium | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Türkiye | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Belgium vs Türkiye?
The model gives Belgium a 66% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 19% for an Türkiye win.
How many goals are expected in Belgium vs Türkiye?
Expected goals: Belgium 3.7, Türkiye 2.0 (total 5.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Belgium vs Türkiye?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.88%.