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Serie B · Regular Season - 9 October 27, 2026 19:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Benevento
#5 · 15 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Catanzaro
#20 · 5 pts
Francesco Salvemini 51' (pen.)
90'+2 Nicolo Buso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benevento a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Catanzaro 21%). The final result was Benevento 1–1 Catanzaro.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
2
2.54
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Christian Kouan
22'
46'
Matias Antonini Lui
49'
50'
Antonio Candela
⚽Francesco Salvemini (pen.)
51'
59'
Ruggero Frosinini / Matias Antonini Lui ↕
59'
Federico Di Francesco / Mehdi Dorval ↕
↕ Davide Lamesta / David Okereke
62'
↕ Christian Kouan / Antonio prisco
62'
Stefano Scognamillo
63'
↕ Francesco Salvemini / G. Mignani
67'
71'
Marco D'Alessandro / Antonio Candela ↕
71'
Simone Pafundi / Jacopo Petriccione ↕
79'
Nicolo Buso / Federico Di Francesco ↕
85'
Marco Imperiale
↕ Pietro Beruatto / Raffaele Romano
86'
↕ Luigi Cherubini / Pietro Saio
86'
90'+2
Nicolo Buso⚽
Mattia Maita
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
55.39%
Benevento
23.49%
X ←
21.12%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benevento
2.77
2.54
-0.23
Catanzaro
0.89
0.47
-0.42
Benevento dominated by xG (2.54 vs 0.47). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Benevento Benevento 4-3-3
26 G. Vannucchi G. Vannucchi G 6.86
20 P. Beruatto P. Beruatto 86' D 6.19
15 C. Dalle Mura C. Dalle Mura D 7.33
14 S. Scognamillo S. Scognamillo D 6.54
17 L. Sernicola L. Sernicola D 7.25
28 C. Kouan C. Kouan 62' M 6.49
8 M. Maita M. Maita M 7.20
6 A. Siatounis A. Siatounis M 6.31
10 L. Cherubini L. Cherubini 86' F 6.25
9 F. Salvemini F. Salvemini 1 ⚽ 67' F 6.91
11 D. Lamesta D. Lamesta 62' F 6.82
Bench
4 A. Prisco A. Prisco 28' M 7.02
29 D. Okereke D. Okereke 28' F 6.58
21 E. Schimmenti E. Schimmenti M 0.00
32 G. Mignani G. Mignani 23' F 6.74
5 L. Caldirola L. Caldirola D 0.00
16 Mattia Mannini Mattia Mannini D 0.00
22 M. Esposito M. Esposito G 0.00
93 M. Tumminello M. Tumminello F 0.00
23 P. Saio P. Saio 4' D 6.76
18 P. Simonetti P. Simonetti M 0.00
90 S. Verdi S. Verdi M 0.00
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli M. Pigliacelli G 6.68
3 M. Imperiale M. Imperiale D 6.61
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini 59' D 6.41
24 M. Ruggero M. Ruggero D 6.96
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 59' M 6.93
30 G. Alesi G. Alesi M 6.17
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione 71' M 6.85
28 F. Tchaouna F. Tchaouna M 6.55
27 A. Candela A. Candela 71' M 6.42
9 P. Iemmello P. Iemmello F 6.01
19 N. Koffi N. Koffi F 6.30
Bench
8 A. Pogačar A. Pogačar M 0.00
26 B. Verrengia B. Verrengia D 0.00
1 C. Marietta C. Marietta G 0.00
21 F. Cassa F. Cassa M 0.00
29 F. Di Francesco F. Di Francesco 20' F 6.48
77 M. D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro 19' F 6.68
7 N. Buso N. Buso 1 ⚽ 11' F 8.20
6 Niccolò Postiglione Niccolò Postiglione D 0.00
98 N. Mosti N. Mosti M 0.00
62 R. Frosinini R. Frosinini 31' D 6.56
20 S. Pafundi S. Pafundi 19' M 6.32
Best on the pitch
N. Buso
N. Buso
F · Catanzaro
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 7 pass
C. Dalle Mura
C. Dalle Mura
D · Benevento
7.33
· 71 pass
L. Sernicola
L. Sernicola
D · Benevento
7.25
1 shots · 45 pass
M. Maita
M. Maita
M · Benevento
7.20
· 68 pass
A. Prisco
A. Prisco
M · Benevento
7.02
· 20 pass
M. Ruggero
M. Ruggero
D · Catanzaro
6.96
· 49 pass
Benevento Benevento — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Vannucchi G 90 6.86 — — 0 51 47% 0 — —
P. Beruatto D 86 6.19 — — 1 45 38% 0 — —
C. Dalle Mura D 90 7.33 — — 0 71 67% 1 — —
S. Scognamillo D 90 6.54 — — 1 62 59% 0 1 —
L. Sernicola D 90 7.25 — — 1 45 41% 0 — —
C. Kouan M 62 6.49 — — 2 22 19% 3 1 —
M. Maita M 90 7.20 — — 0 68 61% 4 1 —
A. Siatounis M 90 6.31 — — 2 30 24% 3 — —
L. Cherubini F 86 6.25 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
F. Salvemini F 67 6.91 1 — 4 6 5% 0 — —
D. Lamesta F 62 6.82 — — 1 20 19% 0 — —
A. Prisco M 28 7.02 — — 0 20 17% 2 — —
D. Okereke F 28 6.58 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
G. Mignani F 23 6.74 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
P. Saio D 4 6.76 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Pigliacelli G 90 6.68 — — 0 33 24% 0 — —
M. Imperiale D 90 6.61 — — 0 56 48% 3 1 —
Matias Antonini D 59 6.41 — — 0 26 24% 1 1 —
M. Ruggero D 90 6.96 — — 0 49 45% 4 — —
M. Dorval M 59 6.93 — — 0 21 19% 2 — —
G. Alesi M 90 6.17 — — 2 39 32% 3 — —
J. Petriccione M 71 6.85 — — 1 39 36% 0 — —
F. Tchaouna M 90 6.55 — — 0 52 49% 2 — —
A. Candela M 71 6.42 — — 0 23 21% 1 1 —
P. Iemmello F 90 6.01 — — 1 30 23% 0 — —
N. Koffi F 90 6.30 — — 1 11 7% 2 — —
F. Di Francesco F 20 6.48 — — 0 11 7% 0 — —
M. D'Alessandro F 19 6.68 — — 1 15 15% 0 — —
N. Buso F 11 8.20 1 — 4 7 7% 0 — —
R. Frosinini D 31 6.56 — — 0 24 20% 2 — —
S. Pafundi M 19 6.32 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benevento vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Benevento 1–1 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Benevento vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Benevento win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Catanzaro win.