F. Salvemini
90'+2
(pen.)
69'
(ast. A. Vasic)
S. Merkaj
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benevento a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Sudtirol 31%). The final result was Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.20
Actual xG
0.56
1
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
10
Corners
1
19
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
A. Floro Flores
36'
55'
S. Merkaj
59'
R. Burnete
/
V. Lopes
L. Cherubini
/ D. Okereke
66'
69'
ast. A. Vasic ·
S. Merkaj⚽
71'
S. Davi
/
A. Vasic
A. Prisco
/ A. Siatounis
74'
P. Beruatto
/ E. Pierozzi
74'
M. Tumminello
79'
M. Tumminello
/ G. Mignani
80'
D. Lamesta
/ E. Schimmenti
80'
86'
A. Okoro
/
S. Merkaj
86'
F. Tait
/
F. Rispoli
86'
E. Schroot
/
B. Bjarkason
⚽F. Salvemini
(pen.)
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
34.73%
Benevento
33.53%
X ←
31.74%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
2.20
+1.44
0.38
0.56
+0.18
Benevento dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G. Vannucchi
G
G. Vannucchi
G
20
P. Beruatto
74'
D
P. Beruatto
74'
D
23
P. Saio
D
P. Saio
D
14
S. Scognamillo
D
S. Scognamillo
D
17
L. Sernicola
D
L. Sernicola
D
4
A. Prisco
74'
M
A. Prisco
74'
M
10
L. Cherubini
66'
M
L. Cherubini
66'
M
8
M. Maita
M
M. Maita
M
11
D. Lamesta
80'
M
D. Lamesta
80'
M
93
M. Tumminello
80'
F
M. Tumminello
80'
F
9
F. Salvemini
1 ⚽
F
F. Salvemini
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
A. Siatounis
21'
M
A. Siatounis
21'
M
96
A. Sylla
G
A. Sylla
G
38
A. Talia
M
A. Talia
M
15
C. Dalle Mura
D
C. Dalle Mura
D
28
C. Kouan
M
C. Kouan
M
29
D. Okereke
29'
F
D. Okereke
29'
F
77
E. Pierozzi
21'
D
E. Pierozzi
21'
D
21
E. Schimmenti
15'
M
E. Schimmenti
15'
M
32
G. Mignani
15'
F
G. Mignani
15'
F
5
L. Caldirola
D
L. Caldirola
D
30
Logan Gaspar Queiroz De Freitas
F
Logan Gaspar Queiroz De Freitas
F
22
M. Esposito
G
M. Esposito
G
22
A. Plizzari
G
A. Plizzari
G
20
B. Bjarkason
86'
D
B. Bjarkason
86'
D
3
D. Veroli
D
D. Veroli
D
55
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
4
R. Stivanello
D
R. Stivanello
D
79
S. Molina
D
S. Molina
D
14
A. Vasic
1 👟
71'
M
A. Vasic
1 👟
71'
M
5
S. Tronchin
M
S. Tronchin
M
10
Fabio Rispoli
86'
M
Fabio Rispoli
86'
M
11
Vasco Lopes
59'
M
Vasco Lopes
59'
M
33
S. Merkaj
1 ⚽
86'
F
S. Merkaj
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
90
A. Okoro
9'
F
A. Okoro
9'
F
46
D. Brik
M
D. Brik
M
80
Elias Schroot
9'
M
Elias Schroot
9'
M
23
F. Davi
D
F. Davi
D
21
F. Tait
9'
M
F. Tait
9'
M
25
K. Mixtur
F
K. Mixtur
F
39
Marco Iuliano
D
Marco Iuliano
D
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
M
9
R. Burnete
36'
F
R. Burnete
36'
F
12
Rok Vadjunec
G
Rok Vadjunec
G
24
S. Davì
24'
D
S. Davì
24'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Cherubini
M · Benevento
7.90
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Maita
M · Benevento
7.70
2 shots
· 65 pass
A. Giorgini
D · Sudtirol
7.60
· 78 pass
A. Prisco
M · Benevento
7.30
1 shots
· 49 pass
S. Merkaj
F · Sudtirol
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
F. Salvemini
F · Benevento
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Benevento — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Vannucchi | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| P. Beruatto | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Saio | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Scognamillo | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sernicola | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Prisco | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | M | 66 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Maita | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lamesta | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Tumminello | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Salvemini | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Siatounis | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Okereke | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pierozzi | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Schimmenti | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mignani | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Plizzari | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | — | — | — |
| B. Bjarkason | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Veroli | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 78 | 70% | — | — | — |
| R. Stivanello | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| S. Molina | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| A. Vasic | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Vasco Lopes | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 86 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Schroot | M | 9 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Burnete | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Davì | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benevento vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Benevento vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Benevento win, 33% to a draw, and 31% to an Sudtirol win.