Europa League
· Play-offs
August 20, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
Rafa Silva
2'
L. Barreiro
31'
V. Pavlidis
45'+2
(pen.)
36'
(ast. J. Andersen)
S. Jorgensen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Aarhus 19%). The final result was Benfica 3–1 Aarhus. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
12
Shots on target
1
70%
Possession
30%
10
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽Rafa Silva
2'
L. Barreiro
9'
T. Araujo
24'
⚽L. Barreiro
31'
36'
ast. J. Andersen ·
S. Jorgensen⚽
⚽V. Pavlidis
(pen.)
45'+2
57'
R. Carstensen
/
C. Rosler
57'
S. Tchamche
/
S. Jorgensen
L. Barreiro
/ R. Rios
66'
G. Prestianni
/ A. Schjelderup
72'
V. Pavlidis
/ J. Duran
72'
73'
G. Links
/
F. Emmery
73'
J. Jonsson
/
M. Knudsen
81'
M. Anderson
/
J. Bogere
83'
S. Tchamche
Rafa Silva
/ J. Kaminski
84'
G. Sudakov
/ F. Aursnes
84'
Pre-match prediction
58.83%
Benfica ←
21.98%
X
19.2%
Aarhus
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
58.83%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.38
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
44
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
2
C. Lenglet
D
C. Lenglet
D
6
A. Bah
D
A. Bah
D
18
L. Barreiro
1 ⚽
M
L. Barreiro
1 ⚽
M
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
5
Enzo Barrenechea
M
Enzo Barrenechea
M
25
G. Prestianni
M
G. Prestianni
M
27
Rafa
1 ⚽
M
Rafa
1 ⚽
M
14
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
F
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
F
Bench
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
21
A. Schjelderup
M
A. Schjelderup
M
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
58
Daniel Banjaqui
D
11
D. Lukebakio
M
D. Lukebakio
M
8
F. Aursnes
M
F. Aursnes
M
33
Gabriel Indio
D
22
J. Durán
F
J. Durán
F
13
J. Kamiński
M
J. Kamiński
M
62
J. Neto
D
J. Neto
D
16
Manu
M
Manu
M
20
R. Rios
M
R. Rios
M
21
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
M. Hedenstad Christiansen
G
19
E. Kahl
D
E. Kahl
D
44
Mouhammade Camara
D
Mouhammade Camara
D
25
C. Rösler
D
C. Rösler
D
39
Frederik Emmery
F
Frederik Emmery
F
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
F
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
F
8
S. Jørgensen
1 ⚽
M
S. Jørgensen
1 ⚽
M
26
J. Andersen
1 👟
M
J. Andersen
1 👟
M
28
J. Bogere
F
J. Bogere
F
31
T. Bech
F
T. Bech
F
Bench
45
Christian Storch
D
11
G. Links
M
G. Links
M
13
Janni Serra
F
Janni Serra
F
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
16
J. Jønsson
M
J. Jønsson
M
33
Luka Callø
D
Luka Callø
D
42
Marius van der Raad
G
Marius van der Raad
G
23
Mikael Anderson
M
Mikael Anderson
M
7
M. Solbakken
M
M. Solbakken
M
29
R. Carstensen
M
R. Carstensen
M
27
S. Tchamche
F
S. Tchamche
F
14
T. Mølgaard
D
T. Mølgaard
D
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Soares | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Barrenechea | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hedenstad Christiansen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mouhammade Camara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Rösler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Andersen | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bogere | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Aarhus?
The final score was Benfica 3–1 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Benfica win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an Aarhus win.