V. Pavlidis
40'
C. Lenglet
(ast. T. Araujo)
51'
82'
(ast. F. Medrano)
Y. Begraoui
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Estoril 26%). The final result was Benfica 2–1 Estoril. In 2 previous meetings, Benfica have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Estoril.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
2.03
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
0
14
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
E. Barrenechea
/ J. Palhinha
31'
⚽V. Pavlidis
40'
46'
J. Holsgrove
/
Xeka
⚽C. Lenglet
· ast. T. Araujo
51'
Rafa Silva
/ A. Schjelderup
63'
71'
Peixinho
/
A. Lacximicant
72'
F. Garcia
/
S. Andreou
72'
P. Carvalho
/
R. Sanchez
75'
I. Sierra
V. Pavlidis
/ J. Duran
80'
G. Sudakov
/ G. Moreira
80'
G. Prestianni
/ D. Lukebakio
80'
82'
ast. F. Medrano ·
Y. Begraoui⚽
82'
R. Guitane
/
F. Medrano
Pre-match prediction
46.72%
Benfica ←
27.17%
X
26.1%
Estoril
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
46.72%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.51
2.03
-0.48
1.00
0.36
-0.64
Benfica dominated by xG (2.03 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
2
C. Lenglet
1 ⚽
D
C. Lenglet
1 ⚽
D
44
Tomás Araújo
1 👟
D
Tomás Araújo
1 👟
D
6
A. Bah
D
A. Bah
D
5
E. Barrenechea
31'
M
E. Barrenechea
31'
M
18
L. Barreiro
M
L. Barreiro
M
25
G. Prestianni
80'
M
G. Prestianni
80'
M
10
H. Sudakov
80'
M
H. Sudakov
80'
M
27
Rafa
63'
M
Rafa
63'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
80'
F
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
3
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
21
A. Schjelderup
31'
F
A. Schjelderup
31'
F
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
11
D. Lukebakio
14'
F
D. Lukebakio
14'
F
77
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
14'
M
22
J. Durán
14'
F
J. Durán
14'
F
13
J. Kamiński
M
J. Kamiński
M
62
J. Neto
D
36
João Palhinha
63'
M
João Palhinha
63'
M
16
Manu
M
Manu
M
20
R. Rios
M
R. Rios
M
1
Joel Robles
G
Joel Robles
G
15
Isma Sierra
D
Isma Sierra
D
4
Ferro
D
Ferro
D
25
Stelios Andreou
72'
D
Stelios Andreou
72'
D
3
Fernando Medrano
1 👟
82'
M
Fernando Medrano
1 👟
82'
M
5
A. Tsoungui
M
A. Tsoungui
M
8
Xeka
45'
M
Xeka
45'
M
2
Ricard Sánchez
72'
M
Ricard Sánchez
72'
M
12
João Carvalho
F
João Carvalho
F
14
Y. Begraoui
1 ⚽
F
Y. Begraoui
1 ⚽
F
7
André Lacximicant
71'
F
André Lacximicant
71'
F
Bench
23
Diogo Dias
G
Diogo Dias
G
98
Fabrício Garcia
22'
F
Fabrício Garcia
22'
F
42
J. Arnolin
D
J. Arnolin
D
10
J. Holsgrove
49'
M
J. Holsgrove
49'
M
80
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
16
M. Turk
G
M. Turk
G
22
Pedro Carvalho
22'
D
Pedro Carvalho
22'
D
17
Peixinho
23'
F
Peixinho
23'
F
99
R. Guitane
12'
M
R. Guitane
12'
M
90
Tiago Brito
M
Tiago Brito
M
19
Tiago Parreira Parente
D
Tiago Parreira Parente
D
Best on the pitch
Joel Robles
G · Estoril
9.00
· 33 pass
C. Lenglet
D · Benfica
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 83 pass
Tomás Araújo
D · Benfica
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 114 pass
V. Pavlidis
F · Benfica
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Rafa
M · Benfica
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
Y. Begraoui
F · Estoril
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Soares | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 83 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 114 | 108% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 63 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Durán | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 57 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
Estoril — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | G | 94 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Isma Sierra | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ferro | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Stelios Andreou | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando Medrano | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tsoungui | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Xeka | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| João Carvalho | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Y. Begraoui | F | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| André Lacximicant | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Holsgrove | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Peixinho | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Guitane | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Estoril?
The final score was Benfica 2–1 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Estoril?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Benfica win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Estoril win.