✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
A. Schjelderup
(ast. G. Prestianni)
3'
Rafa Silva
(ast. G. Prestianni)
14'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 74% win probability (draw 16%, Nacional 8%). The final result was Benfica 2–0 Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
4
3.43
Actual xG
0.25
4
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
15
Corners
1
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽A. Schjelderup
· ast. G. Prestianni
3'
⚽Rafa Silva
· ast. G. Prestianni
14'
Samuel Dahl
22'
50'
Witi
56'
Léo Santos
58'
Matheus Dias
61'
F. Soares
/
Matheus Dias
61'
Pablo Ruan
/
Witi
V. Pavlidis
/ F. Ivanovic
77'
Rafa Silva
/ F. Aursnes
78'
G. Prestianni
/ D. Lukebakio
78'
R. Rios
/ E. Barrenechea
79'
83'
J. Silva
/
C. Labidi
83'
L. Vallier
/
Jose Gomes
90'+1
L. Aurelio
/
Daniel Junior
A. Schjelderup
/ G. Moreira
90'+2
90'+4
Lenny Vallier
90'
Joel Silva
Pre-match prediction
74.36%
Benfica ←
16.68%
X
8.96%
Nacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
74.36%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
3.43
+1.07
0.75
0.25
-0.5
Benfica dominated by xG (3.43 vs 0.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Anatoliy Trubin
G
Anatoliy Trubin
G
26
Samuel Dahl
D
Samuel Dahl
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
4
D
17
D
18
Leandro Barreiro
M
Leandro Barreiro
M
20
R. Rios
79'
M
R. Rios
79'
M
21
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
M
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
M
27
Rafa Silva
1 ⚽
78'
M
Rafa Silva
1 ⚽
78'
M
25
G. Prestianni
2 👟
78'
M
G. Prestianni
2 👟
78'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
77'
F
V. Pavlidis
77'
F
Bench
6
Alexander Bah
D
Alexander Bah
D
72
Anísio Cabral
F
11
D. Lukebakio
17'
F
D. Lukebakio
17'
F
5
E. Barrenechea
16'
M
E. Barrenechea
16'
M
9
F. Ivanović
18'
F
F. Ivanović
18'
F
8
Fredrik Aursnes
17'
M
Fredrik Aursnes
17'
M
77
Gonçalo Moreira
3'
M
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
1
G
5
José Gomes
83'
D
José Gomes
83'
D
38
Ze Vitor
D
Ze Vitor
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
16
Alan Núñez
D
Alan Núñez
D
28
Liziero
M
Liziero
M
6
Matheus Dias
61'
M
Matheus Dias
61'
M
15
Chiheb Labidi
83'
M
Chiheb Labidi
83'
M
7
Witi
61'
F
Witi
61'
F
9
C. Ramírez
F
C. Ramírez
F
10
Daniel Júnior
F
Daniel Júnior
F
Bench
22
Filipe Soares
34'
M
Filipe Soares
34'
M
26
Joel Silva
12'
M
Joel Silva
12'
M
24
Lenny Vallier
12'
D
Lenny Vallier
12'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
G · Nacional
8.60
· 43 pass
N. Otamendi
D · Benfica
8.50
1 shots
· 73 pass
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
8.50
2 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Samuel Dahl
D · Benfica
8.20
· 49 pass
Anatoliy Trubin
G · Benfica
7.70
· 28 pass
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Dahl | D | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 73% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Leandro Barreiro | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Rios | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 92 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafa Silva | M | 78 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | 78 | 8.50 | — | 2 | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 77 | 4.90 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fredrik Aursnes | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Moreira | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| José Gomes | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Ze Vitor | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alan Núñez | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Liziero | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Chiheb Labidi | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Witi | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ramírez | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Silva | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Lenny Vallier | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Nacional?
The final score was Benfica 2–0 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Nacional?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Benfica win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Nacional win.