✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
A. Schjelderup
(ast. G. Prestianni)
3'
Rafa Silva
(ast. G. Prestianni)
14'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 74% win probability (draw 16%, Nacional 8%). The final result was Benfica 2–0 Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
4
3.43
Actual xG
0.25
4
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
15
Corners
1
13
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽A. Schjelderup
· ast. G. Prestianni
3'
⚽Rafa Silva
· ast. G. Prestianni
14'
Samuel Dahl
22'
50'
Witi
56'
Léo Santos
58'
Matheus Dias
61'
F. Soares
/
Matheus Dias
61'
Pablo Ruan
/
Witi
V. Pavlidis
/ F. Ivanovic
77'
Rafa Silva
/ F. Aursnes
78'
G. Prestianni
/ D. Lukebakio
78'
R. Rios
/ E. Barrenechea
79'
83'
J. Silva
/
C. Labidi
83'
L. Vallier
/
Jose Gomes
90'+1
L. Aurelio
/
Daniel Junior
A. Schjelderup
/ G. Moreira
90'+2
90'+4
Lenny Vallier
90'
Joel Silva
Pre-match prediction
74.36%
Benfica ←
16.68%
X
8.96%
Nacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
74.36%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
3.43
+1.07
0.75
0.25
-0.5
Benfica dominated by xG (3.43 vs 0.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
4
D
17
D
18
L. Barreiro
M
L. Barreiro
M
20
Richard Ríos
79'
M
Richard Ríos
79'
M
21
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
M
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
M
27
Rafa
1 ⚽
78'
M
Rafa
1 ⚽
78'
M
25
G. Prestianni
2 👟
78'
M
G. Prestianni
2 👟
78'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
77'
F
V. Pavlidis
77'
F
Bench
6
A. Bah
D
A. Bah
D
72
A. Cabral
F
A. Cabral
F
11
D. Lukebakio
17'
F
D. Lukebakio
17'
F
5
Enzo Barrenechea
16'
M
Enzo Barrenechea
16'
M
8
F. Aursnes
17'
M
F. Aursnes
17'
M
9
F. Ivanović
18'
F
F. Ivanović
18'
F
77
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
3'
M
Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
3'
M
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
1
G
5
José Gomes
83'
D
José Gomes
83'
D
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
16
Alan Núñez
D
Alan Núñez
D
28
Liziero
M
Liziero
M
6
Matheus Dias
61'
M
Matheus Dias
61'
M
15
C. Labidi
83'
M
C. Labidi
83'
M
7
Witi
61'
F
Witi
61'
F
9
Jesús Ramírez
F
Jesús Ramírez
F
10
Daniel Júnior
F
Daniel Júnior
F
Bench
22
Filipe Soares
34'
M
Filipe Soares
34'
M
26
Joel da Silva
12'
M
Joel da Silva
12'
M
24
L. Vallier
12'
D
L. Vallier
12'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
9.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
G · Nacional
8.60
· 43 pass
N. Otamendi
D · Benfica
8.50
1 shots
· 73 pass
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
8.50
2 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
S. Dahl
D · Benfica
8.20
· 49 pass
A. Trubin
G · Benfica
7.70
· 28 pass
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trubin | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 73% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| L. Barreiro | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Richard Ríos | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 92 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 78 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | M | 78 | 8.50 | — | 2 | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 77 | 4.90 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Barrenechea | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| José Gomes | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alan Núñez | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Liziero | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Labidi | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Witi | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Jesús Ramírez | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel da Silva | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Vallier | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Nacional?
The final score was Benfica 2–0 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Nacional?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Benfica win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Nacional win.